Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 26, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Mets -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Mets -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Mets -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  54-46 (2nd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  53-48 (3rd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10

New York Mets:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-46 record overall and have a road record of 24-25. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Friday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Mets are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the New York Yankees 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-48 record overall and have a home record of 26-26. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Luis Severino is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He has been out all season with an injury and will be making his season debut in this game.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 53-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and climbing back into the playoff race after being under .500 for most of the season. They haven't looked great in their home games though, going 26-26 in those. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 54-46 record overall which has them in 2nd place in the NL East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked great in their road games though with their 24-25 road record, and they haven't looked that good in their games lately either. The Braves have been riddled with injuries this year and it is starting to take a toll on them. They just lost another key player in their lineup with Albies going down and now they are only 3-7 in their last 10 games. This is a big series for the Mets since they are within striking distance of the Braves in the division, and they have been really hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. They are going to have Senga on the mound here who is making his 1st start of the season in only his 2nd ever MLB season, but he looked great last year and will be looking to continue that this season. His team has also been really hot on offense lately and just scored 12 runs in their last game, sweeping the Yankees in a mini-series. The Braves are going to have Morton on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA and the team hasn't had a ton of success with him. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this season, and his team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Mets are going to be motivated in this series since they are the hotter team right now, climbing up the standings, and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup with the Braves struggling on offense lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 26, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 8 Braves 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 36-41 (-24.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 77 games. 23-39 (-17.85 units) on the runline in their last 62 games. 46-27 to the under in their last 73 games. 

New York Mets: 30-13 (+15.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 43 games. 29-25 (+9.20 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 54 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  W. Merrifield (2B) Out Wed - Finger. A. Riley (3B) Out Fri - Personal. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Fried (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Harris II (LF) Early Oct - Hamstring. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

New York Mets:  C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Fujinami (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) Late May - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“It's a hard game. These stretches happen. ... It's pretty easy to get down and get negative. I feel the talent we have in our clubhouse is second to none and we have our fair share of leaders in the clubhouse to keep us on the right track.” - Jarred Kelenic after their loss against the Reds in their game on Wednesday.

“It’s great winning. I love winning. The vibes are completely different than when we were losing. Right now we understand that we have a good team and that we have great players and great people in this clubhouse, and we’re all playing for each other.” - Francisco Lindor after their win against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

N Alvarez Jr. (R) 3B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

A Duvall (R) RF

E Rosario (L) LF

S Murphy (R) C

O Arcia (R) SS

Z Short (R) 2B

F Lindor (S) SS

B Nimmo (L) LF

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

J McNeil (L) RF

J Iglesias (R) 2B

F Alvarez (R) C

T Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.306)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (114)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (28)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.381)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (106)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (21)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (20)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)