Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 25, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Mets +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Mets +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Mets +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  54-45 (2nd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  52-48 (3rd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

New York Mets:  7-3 last 10

The Braves lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-45 record overall and have a road record of 24-25. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 2nd game and the series finale of their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds still to be played on Wednesday in a double-header. The Braves lost the series opener of that series on Monday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Wednesday in game 2 of their double-header while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Mets split their 4-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-48 record overall and have a home record of 26-26. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the New York Yankees still to be played on Wednesday. The Mets won the 1st game of that series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Sean Manaea is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 52-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and climbing back into the playoff race after being under .500 for most of the season. They haven't looked great in their home games though, going 26-26 in those. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 54-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place in the NL East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked great in their road games though with their 24-25 road record, and they haven't looked that good in their games lately either. The Braves have been struggling with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games while the Mets have been getting really hot, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. Their offense has also been a lot better than the Braves since the Mets have been putting up runs lately, and it won't help that the Braves are playing a double-header on Wednesday so their bullpen is going to be thin for this one. They have Morton on the mound here and he is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but he hasn't had a ton of those starts this season and the Braves have still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Mets have more of an edge in this one with Severino on the mound who is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start and has been giving up less runs than Morton all season. The team has also been finding more success with him on the mound since he leads the starting rotation with 7 wins this year and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting. The Mets are already the hotter team coming into this one and they have the better offense right now, they can take advantage of the Braves in this situation off the double-header. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 25, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Braves 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 36-40 (-23.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 76 games. 23-38 (-16.85 units) on the runline in their last 61 games. 

New York Mets: 29-13 (+14.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 42 games. 28-25 (+8.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 53 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  W. Merrifield (2B) Out Wed - Finger. A. Riley (3B) Out Fri - Personal. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Fried (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Harris II (LF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

New York Mets:  C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Fujinami (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) Late May - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“I just hope for the best and the shortest recovery time.” - Brian Snitker on the injury to Ozzie Albies.

“More confident. I feel like my swing is right where it needs to be. I feel a lot better. I feel like myself. ... I'm swinging the bat freely. I'm trying to get a good pitch I can drive.” - Jeff McNeil after their win against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

N Alvarez Jr. (R) 3B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

A Duvall (R) RF

E Rosario (L) LF

S Murphy (R) C

O Arcia (R) SS

Z Short (R) 2B

F Lindor (S) SS

B Nimmo (L) LF

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

J McNeil (L) 2B

L Torrens (R) C

T Taylor (R) RF

H Bader (R) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.311)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (114)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (28)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (79)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.387)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (103)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (19)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (20)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)