Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/28/2024

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -148, Twins +124; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Twins +125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -155, Twins +125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  71-60 (2nd place, NL West)

Minnesota Twins:  72-59 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 71-60 record overall and have a road record of 35-32. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 14-3 with a 2.62 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 9 hits through 7 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-59 record overall and have a home record of 37-27. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Twins lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher David Festa is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-3 with a 5.20 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 3.2 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 72-59 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and chasing down the Guardians in 1st place. They have looked great in their home games too with their 37-27 home record. Meanwhile, the Braves have also looked good in their games this season with their 71-60 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NL West and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked as good in their road games either, going 35-32 in those this season. Both of these teams are fighting for Wild Card spots in their respective leagues but the Braves have been the hotter team lately as they push to make the playoffs. The Braves are really hot, going 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Twins are only 4-6. The Braves also have the advantage with the pitching matchup in this one. They are going with their stud Sale in this one and he has been a constant on the mound all season. He is 14-3 with a 2.62 ERA and has been leading the Braves in wins all year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him, not giving up many runs all season, and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting too. The Twins are going to have their rookie Festa on the mound and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 2-3 with a 5.20 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and his team has lost 2 of the last 3 games with him starting too. The Braves are finally starting to get hot and Festa won't be able to keep this hot offense off the board, and with Sale pitching on the other side, the Twins will struggle to put up runs themselves too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 28, 2024 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Twins 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 54-54 (-26.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 108 games. 38-55 (-20.90 units) on the runline in their last 93 games. 17-9 to the over with their team total in their last 26 road games. 

Minnesota Twins: 65-47 (+5.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 112 games. 30-26 (+5.55 units) on the runline in their last 56 games. 40-26 to the over in their last 66 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  M. Harris II (LF) Out Mon - Hand. T. d'Arnaud (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. A. Riley (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body.

Minnesota Twins:  M. Kepler (RF) Out Mon - Knee. B. Buxton (CF) Out indefinitely - Hip. B. Lee (SS) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Ryan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) out for season - Shoulder. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“‘Whatever you feel like.’ He said, ‘I want to go. I don’t care how long we wait.’” - Brian Snitker on Max Fried after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Monday.

“I didn’t know the rain was coming that early. I don’t think anyone did. It was hot, and I was sweating a lot, but I’ve had games like that before and I was able to pitch through it. No excuses.” - Bailey Ober after their loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

Whit Merrifield (R) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) RF

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Ramón Laureano (R) LF

Jarred Kelenic (L) CF

Gio Urshela (R) 3B

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Manuel Margot (R) LF

Royce Lewis (R) DH

Jose Miranda (R) 3B

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Kyle Farmer (R) 2B

Willi Castro (S) SS

Christian Vázquez (R) C

Matt Wallner (L) RF

Austin Martin (R) CF

Batting Average:  Whit Merrifield (.313)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (151)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (37)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (96)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (14)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (28)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (118)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (20)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (59)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (12)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (12)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (18)

ERA:  Scott Blewett (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)