Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2024

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Twins -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  70-60 (2nd place, NL West)

Minnesota Twins:  72-58 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-60 record overall and have a road record of 34-32. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-6 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 6.2 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-58 record overall and have a home record of 37-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Monday while Simeon Woods Richardson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the San Diego Padres.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 72-58 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and chasing down the Guardians in 1st place. They have looked great in their home games too with their 37-26 home record. Meanwhile, the Braves have also looked good in their games this season with their 70-60 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the NL West and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked as good in their road games either, going 34-32 in those this season. Both of these teams are fighting for Wild Card spots in their respective leagues but the Twins do have an advantage coming into this one with the pitching matchup. Schwellenbach is on the mound for the Braves in this one and he is 5-6 with a 3.94 ERA. He hasn't been a bad starter this season, but he is in his rookie year and has been really up and down in his starts. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team hasn't had a lot of success with him lately, losing 2 of the last 3 games he started in. The Twins are going to have Woods Richardson on the mound in this one and he is 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA. He has been the better starter lately since he has been giving up less runs. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and even his team has won 2 games in a row with him starting now. The Twins have also looked a lot better in their home games all season so this is a game with this pitching matchup that they can take advantage of at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game. 

Braves Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 27, 2024 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Braves 2.

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Atlanta Braves: 53-64 (-27.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 107 games. 37-55 (-22.40 units) on the runline in their last 92 games. 16-9 to the over with their team total in their last 25 road games. 

Minnesota Twins: 65-46 (+6.80 units) on the moneyline in their last 111 games. 30-25 (+7.25 units) on the runline in their last 55 games. 39-27 to the over in their last 66 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  M. Harris II (LF) Que Mon - Hand. T. d'Arnaud (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. A. Riley (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body.

Minnesota Twins:  M. Kepler (RF) Que Mon - Knee. B. Buxton (CF) Out indefinitely - Hip. B. Lee (SS) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Ryan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) out for season - Shoulder. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“[Jackson] closed games for us years ago. You’ve just got to stay with him. It’s probably just location.” - Brian Snitker on Luke Jackson after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.

“First time that I’ve ever (missed) on a double-play throw arm-side. Maybe my feet weren’t turned enough, but I usually do that. I don’t know. It just happened in a bad moment.” - Edouard Julien after their loss against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Jorge Soler (R) RF

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Ramón Laureano (R) LF

Whit Merrifield (R) 2B

Gio Urshela (R) 3B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Willi Castro (S) SS

Trevor Larnach (L) DH

Jose Miranda (R) 3B

Matt Wallner (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Manuel Margot (R) LF

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Austin Martin (R) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.305)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (149)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (37)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (94)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (14)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (28)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (118)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (20)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (59)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (12)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (12)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (18)

ERA:  Scott Blewett (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)