Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/31/2024

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Brewers +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Brewers +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -130, Brewers +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Atlanta Braves:  56-49 (2nd place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  61-45 (1st place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-49 record overall and have a road record of 26-28. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 13-3 with a 2.68 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 7.1 IP against the New York Mets.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-45 record overall and have a home record of 31-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Brewers won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Joe Ross is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 5 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-49 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked good in their road games though, going 26-28 in those. Meanwhile, the Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-45 record overall which has them leading the NL Central with one of the best records in the MLB at the moment. They have also looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 31-19 home record. The Brewers have looked really good in their games lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games while the Braves have looked terrible, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, but this will be a good game for the Braves to bounce back in and get a win under their belt in this series. They blew a lead in the 1st game of this series, going on to lose that game, but they will have a more favorable pitching matchup in this one. They are going to have Sale on the mound here and he is 13-3 with a 2.68 ERA. He leads the starting rotation in wins this season and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all year, but he has also been so consistent all season that he is up for the Cy Young award. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him all year and the team has won 3 of the last 4 games he started in too. The Brewers are going to have Peralta on the mound here and he hasn't looked bad this season, but he hasn't been as consistent as Sale in his starts. He is 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA and the team hasn't been finding much success with him lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and his team lost 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The Brewers have been the hotter team lately but their offense is going to struggle more with how good Sale has looked lately and this will also be a game that the Braves offense can put some runs up in. The Braves won’t need many runs to win this game either with how good Sale has looked. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 31, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Brewers 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 39-43 (-23.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 82 games. 26-41 (-18.20 units) on the runline in their last 67 games. 63-40 to the under in their last 103 games. 

Milwaukee Brewers: 61-46 (+8.60 units) on the moneyline in their last 107 games. 21-16 (+8.45 units) on the runline in their last 37 home games. 61-46 (+8.60 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 107 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  W. Merrifield (2B) Que Tues - Finger. R. Lopez (SP) Doub Tues - Forearm. M. Harris II (LF) Early Oct - Hamstring. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Fried (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. 

Milwaukee Brewers:  D. Williams (RP) Ques Tues - Back. T. Megill (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Hudson (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Zastryzny (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Yelich (LF) Out indefinitely - Back. O. Dunn (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Paredes (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Gasser (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“I just wanted to go out there and throw strikes and go as deep as I could and keep the bullpen out of the game. It was such a special moment. I never thought I would ever be starting for the Atlanta Braves.” - Grant Holmes after their loss against the Brewers in their game on Monday.

“The kid plays every single night and comes up big so often." - Pat Murphy on Willy Adames after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Monday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

A Riley (R) 3B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

S Murphy (R) C

E Rosario (L) LF

A Duvall (R) RF

O Arcia (R) SS

N Alvarez Jr. (R) 2B

B Turang (L) 2B

W Contreras (R) C

J Bauers (L) 1B

W Adames (R) SS

J Chourio (R) LF

G Mitchell (L) CF

R Hoskins (R) DH

S Frelick (L) RF

J Ortiz (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.306)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (119)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (31)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (83)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.370)

Hits:  William Contreras (117)

Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (18)

RBI:  Willy Adames (71)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (32)

Wins:  Colin Rea (9)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (20)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)