by Rod Pearson
Monday, Apr 15, 2024
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: SCHN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Braves -122, Astros +102; Over/Under: 10 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Braves -122, Astros +102; Over/Under: 10 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Braves -122, Astros +102; Over/Under: 10 runs
Season Record
Atlanta Braves: 9-5 (1st place, NL East)
Houston Astros: 6-11 (5th place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves: 6-4 last 10
Houston Astros: 4-6 last 10
Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis
The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 9-5 record overall and have a road record of 5-3. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday and they have the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .857 OPS. Darius Vines is their starting pitcher on Monday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.
The Astros are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 6-11 record overall and have a home record of 4-6. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they have the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .790 OPS. Spencer Arrighetti is their starting pitcher on Monday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-2 with a 16.43 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 9 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 11 hits through 0.2 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.
Braves vs Astros Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 9-5 record overall and they have looked good in their road games with their 5-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Astros haven't looked good at all in their games this season with their 6-11 record overall and their 4-6 home record. The Astros have looked a lot better lately with 2 wins in a row now after beating the Rangers in their last series, but the Braves have also looked good all season and have been the more consistent team. The Astros offense has looked a lot better lately as they are putting up runs, but the Braves still have the better offense to start this new MLB season, and the pitching matchup won't help the Astros here either. The Astros are going with Hunter Brown in this game and he has looked terrible in his starts with his team losing all 3 games. He also got destroyed for 9 runs in less than 1 inning the last game he started in. Meanwhile, Lopez has looked great for the Braves in his few starts so far and he will give the Braves a big advantage in this game since they also have the better offense to lean on. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
Braves Astros Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, April 16, 2024 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 9 Astros 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves: 216-130 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 195-97 (+28.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 103-71 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 10-3 OVER in all games. 10-3 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 19-10 OVER against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros: 6-11 (-7.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 3-8 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 105-80 (-27.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. HUNTER BROWN is 11-6 OVER in home games and 13-7 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Braves: S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Perdomo (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Murphy (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique.
Houston Astros: A. Bregman (3B) Ques Mon - Illness. F. Valdez (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Verlander (SP) Late April - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early July - Forearm.
Notable Quotes
“These guys are amazing. If you keep within a run or so, you’ve got a pretty good chance. It was a tough, well-fought game.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.
“It’s impressive how he’s able to get barrel to some tough pitches. When the pitcher thinks that he’s executed a pitch, Altuve is getting the barrel and hitting the ball out of the ballpark, getting singles. Pretty impressive what he does.” - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Adam Duvall (R) LF
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Chadwick Tromp (R) C
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Yainer Diaz (R) DH
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Jeremy Peña (R) SS
Victor Caratini (S) C
José Abreu (R) 1B
Mauricio Dubón (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Jarred Kelenic (.414)
Hits: Marcell Ozuna (22)
Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (7)
RBI: Marcell Ozuna (21)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuña (7)
Wins: Pierce Johnson (2)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (3)
ERA: Reynaldo López (0.75)
Houston Astros
Batting Average: Jose Altuve (.382)
Hits: Jose Altuve (26)
Home Runs: Jose Altuve (5)
RBI: Kyle Tucker (13)
Stolen Bases: Jeremy Peña (2)
Wins: Cristian Javier (2)
Saves: Josh Hader (1)
ERA: Dylan Coleman (0.00)
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)
Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
