by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 04, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024
Venue: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Army -6, UNT +6; Over/Under: 63.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Army -5.5, UNT +5.5; Over/Under: 63.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Army -5.5, UNT +5.5; Over/Under: 63.5 points
Season Record
Army Black Knights: 8-0 (6-0) (1st place, AAC)
North Texas Mean Green: 5-3 (2-2) (5th place, AAC)
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Recent Form
Army Black Knights: won their last game at home against the Air Force Falcons 20-3.
North Texas Mean Green: lost their last game at home against the Tulane Green Wave 45-37.
Army Black Knights vs North Texas Mean Green Preview and Analysis
Army is entering this game with an 8-0 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Air Force Academy 20-3. Dewayne Coleman was the starting QB and he completed 5/8 passes for 48 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kanye Udoh led the team in rushing yards with 158 and 2 TDs. Casey Reynolds led the receivers with 24 receiving yards on 1 reception. Justin Weaver led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kody Harris-Miller led the defense in sacks with 2. Casey Larkin, Max DiDomenico, and Jaydan Mayes each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
North Texas is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Tulane 45-37. Chandler Morris was the starting QB and he completed 38/57 passes for 449 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kiefer Sibley led the team in rushing yards with 26. DT Sheffield led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Brian Nelson II led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jake Shipley led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylen Smith came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Army vs North Texas Prediction
The current betting odds have Army listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Army has looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall and their 6-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the AAC in their first season in the conference. They are coming off another big win over Air Force in their last one, missing their starting QB in that 20-3 win, but they should be getting him back this week which will help this Army offense that has looked so good this season. Meanwhile, North Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but they have a 3-3 conference record which has them in the middle of the AAC. They are coming off a home loss against Tulane in their last one too. Their offense has looked really good this season, but their defense has been giving up a ton of points and they are already going to struggle to defend the triple option here. Army will have no problem moving the ball against this North Texas defense that has been giving up a ton of points, but unlike North Texas, Army does have a good defense and won't allow UNT to move the ball as easily. Army has a ton of momentum on their side with the way they have been rolling over teams and North Texas isn't going to be the team to slow them down here. The best way to place a bet here is on Army to cover the spread in this game.
Army North Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Army 42 North Texas 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Army Black Knights: 1-4 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 0-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 yards/game or more. 12-6 OVER as a favorite. 4-1 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game. 12-7 OVER when playing with 6 or less days rest.
North Texas Mean Green: 16-8 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 14-6 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 13-7 OVER as an underdog. 11-5 OVER in home lined games. 10-5 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Army Black Knights: B. Daily (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Britton (K) Out - Knee. Z. Mundell (QB) Out - Undisclosed.
North Texas Mean Green: D. Harris (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Aaron (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Ragsdale (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Price (RB) Out - Leg. I. Young (SAF) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I felt like I had a responsibility to fill the shoes of Bryson and go out there and play my best game.” - Kanye Udoh after their win against AFA in their last game.
“I decided to do it when I score because who else gets to do something like that. I like it, it’s stuck.” - Blair Conwright on his celebration this season.
Starting Lineups
Army Black Knights
WR Fortner, Liam
TE Crossan, David
QB Daily, Bryson
RB Udoh, Kanye
RB Stewart, Miles
SB Short, Noah
North Texas Mean Green
WR Conwright, Blair
WR Ward Jr., Damon
WR Sheffield, DT
WR Sides, Landon
TE Hammond, Oscar
QB Morris, Chandler
RB Ragsdale, Ikaika
Statistical Leaders
Army Black Knights
Passing: B. Daily (629)
Rushing: B. Daily (909)
Receiving: C. Reynolds (317)
Touchdowns: B. Daily (19)
North Texas Mean Green
Passing: C. Morris (2873)
Rushing: S. Porter (307)
Receiving: D. Sheffield (690)
Touchdowns: D. Sheffield (11)
Coaches:
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (11th season)
North Texas Mean Green: Eric Morris (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
