Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/14/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 14, 2024

Venue:  Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI 

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  AR State +22.5, Michigan -22.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  AR State +22.5, Michigan -22.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  AR State +22.5, Michigan -22.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  2-0 (0-0) (3rd place, Sun Belt West)

Michigan Wolverines:  1-1 (0-0) (17th place, Big Ten)

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Arkansas State Red Wolves:  won their last game at home against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 28-24.

Michigan Wolverines:  lost their last game at home against the Texas Longhorns 31-12.

Arkansas State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Tulsa 28-24. Jaylen Raynor was the starting QB and he completed 21/32 passes for 255 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zak Wallace led the team in rushing yards with 78. Reagan Ealy led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Justin Parks led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack. Trevian Thomas came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Michigan is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 31-12. Davis Warren was the starting QB and he completed 22/33 passes for 204 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Donovan Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 41. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Jaishawn Barham and Jyaire Hill each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Arkansas State listed as a 22.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas State has looked good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall which has them off to a great start that they haven't had the last few years. They beat a team from the FCS in week 1 and beat Tulsa last week, but didn't really beat either by more than 1 score. Meanwhile, Michigan is 1-1 this season and they haven't looked great in their games so far. They are in a new era without Harbaugh and it isn't off to a good start with a loss in their 2nd game after going 15-0 last season and winning the National Championship. They beat Fresno State 30-10 but got handled in their own house by Texas, losing 31-12. Michigan showed that they have big problems on offense as they struggled to move the ball, and this is a really large number for them to cover when the offense hasn't really been rolling. Their defense has always been the best part of their team, but even their defense has big holes this season. The pass defense is nowhere near as good as it was last season and teams will be able to move the ball through the air against them. Arkansas State might not have a great day on offense, but they aren't going to get shut out here and that will be enough since this Michigan offense isn't going to be running away with any games this year either. The best way to place a bet here is on Arkansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas State Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 14, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 24 Arkansas State 7.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves: 0-2 ATS in their last 2 road games. 1-4 ATS in the first half of their last 5 road games. 8-6 to the under in their last 14 games. 

Michigan Wolverines: 9-7 ATS in their last 16 games. 13-1 (+12 units) on the first half moneyline in their last 13 games. 6-4 to the first half under in their last 10 home games. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  None.

Michigan Wolverines:  J. Taylor (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Tuttle (QB) Questionable - Elbow. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.

"I thought we played complementary football and we were a really connected football team. I think it showed. Overall, in the second half, we (outgained) them 181 to 92. Tulsa is a good football team and they are well-coached. When you make mistakes like we did in the first half against a good football team and a well-coached football team, it's going to get you. But we found a way to win." - Butch Jones after his team’s win against Tulsa in their last game. 

“I never really thought about the growing pains, more so just what can we do to get better. We knew we were a new team. We never try to rest on our laurels that we won the national championship last year.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game. 

WR Rucker, Corey

WR Harden Jr., Reginald

WR Jackson, Courtney 

TE Stevenson Jr., Manny

QB Raynor, Jaylen 

RB Cross, Ja'Quez

WR O'Leary, Peyton 

WR Morris, Tyler 

WR Morgan, Semaj 

TE Loveland, Colston 

QB Warren, Davis 

RB Edwards, Donovan

Passing: J. Raynor (572)

Rushing: J. Raynor (122)

Receiving: C. Rucker (239)

Touchdowns: C. Rucker (2)

Passing: D. Warren (322)

Rushing: K. Mullings (117)

Receiving: C. Loveland (157)

Touchdowns: C. Loveland (1)

Coaches:

Arkansas State Red Wolves: Butch Jones (4th season)

Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)