Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/28/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Texas A&M -3.5; Over/Under:  52 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Texas A&M -3.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +3.5, Texas A&M -3.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Arkansas Razorbacks:  3-1 (1-0) (4th place, SEC)

Texas A&M Aggies:  3-1 (1-0) (6th place, SEC)

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  won their last game on the road against the Auburn Tigers 24-14.

Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game at home against the Bowling Green Falcons 26-20.

Arkansas is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 24-14. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 12/27 passes for 151 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Taylen Green led the team in rushing yards with 80. Isaiah Sategna led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Doneiko Slaughter led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Doneiko Slaughter and Nico Davillier each led the defense in sacks with 1. TJ Metcalf led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Doneiko Slaughter and Jayden Johnson each came away with 1 INT for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Bowling Green State 26-20. Marcel Reed was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 173 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcel Reed led the team in rushing yards with 91. Jahdae Walker led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Will Lee III and Nic Scourton each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Shemar Turner and Shemar Stewart each led the defense in sacks with 1. Marcus Ratcliffe came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Arkansas listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and they are 1-0 in their conference games too. Their 1 loss was against Oklahoma State on the road in a game that went to OT, but they bounced back last week with a conference win over Auburn on the road. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and they are also 1-0 in their conference games. Their conference win was on the road against Florida, but Florida has struggled a lot early on in the season. They are coming off a home win against Bowling Green last week, but they struggled to win that game as they only won by 6 points in the end, and that was against a team from the MAC. Now they are getting an even better team from the SEC here and even though this game is still in Texas, it is at a neutral site for these two. Arkansas has been putting up points in their games this year and their defense looked a lot better in their win last week. Texas A&M hasn't really been blowing their opponents out this season and they are still trying to figure out who their best starting QB is under their new head coach Mike Elko. Arkansas will be able to keep this game close and possibly even pull off an upset win here. The best way to place a bet here is on Arkansas to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 24 Texas A&M 21.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 0-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 1-7 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 21-7 OVER in all lined games. 8-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Texas A&M Aggies: 4-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 11-6 1H ATS against conference opponents. 6-3 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-4 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-2 1H OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 

Arkansas Razorbacks:  J. Wilson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. James (WR) Out - Suspension. R. Dubinion (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Mitchell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Kutas (OL) Questionable - Back.

Texas A&M Aggies:  T. Jones (DB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Chappell (DB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Weigman (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Williams (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Nabou (OL) Out - Knee. R. Owens (RB) Out - Lower Body.

“There’s no doubt in my mind he’ll do a great job there. They play hard. I mean, they look the part. I think they’re gonna have a really good team throughout the entire season. I think they’ll be a hard out for whoever plays them.” - Sam Pittman on Hugh Freeze after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game. 

"It was just one of those days. It wasn't all negative, but there were too many negatives that we need to get fixed." - Mike Elko after his team’s win against BGSU in their last game. 

WR Armstrong, Andrew 

WR Broden, Tyrone 

WR Sategna, Isaiah

TE Hasz, Luke

QB Green, Taylen 

RB Jackson, Ja'Quinden

WR Thomas, Noah

WR Allen, Cyrus

WR Barber, Jabre  

TE Watson, Tre 

QB Weigman, Conner 

RB Moss, Le'Veon 

Passing: T. Green (957)

Rushing: J. Jackson (472)

Receiving: A. Armstrong (348)

Touchdowns: J. Jackson (8)

Passing: M. Reed (422)

Rushing: L. Moss (354)

Receiving: C. Allen (181)

Touchdowns: L. Moss (3)

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (5th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (1st season)