by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jul 03, 2024
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 4, 2024
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +114, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +114, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Diamondbacks +114, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 41-44 (4th place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 53-33 (1st place, NL West)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Team Del Genio is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 19-7 MLB RUN for +$10,370 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-44 record overall and have a road record of 19-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Diamondbacks lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Rookie pitcher Walvin Mena is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Zac Gallen is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 1 hit through 6 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-33 record overall and have a home record of 26-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Dodgers won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Gavin Stone is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Landon Knack is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.2 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 53-33 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their home games with their 26-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks went to the World Series last year, but they haven't looked great in their games this season with their 41-44 record overall. They are well out of the division race with that record and they haven't looked great in their road games either, going 19-23 in their road games this year. They did lose a close 6-5 game in the series opener of this one so they will be looking to bounce back by getting a game in this series, and they have the better pitching matchup to do so here. They have Gallen on the mound here and he is 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA this season. The team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he is due for a bounce back since he has been pitching well all year. He didn't give up any runs in his last start either and the bats have been waking up for the D-Backs lately. The Dodgers are going with a rookie on the mound here with Knack and he hasn't been bad in his few starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA this season and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but he does have a loss under his belt already and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Dodgers have looked good lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but this rookie isn't the best starting option for them here so if the Diamondbacks are going to take a game in this series, this will be the one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game or keep it close on the runline.
Diamondbacks Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 4, 2024 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 5.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks: 34-43 (-14.90 units) on the runline in their last 77 games. 40-44 (-7.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 84 games. 20-10 to the over in their last 30 games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 10-6 (+5 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 16 games. 27-15 (+4.70 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 42 games. 5-0 to the over in their last 5 games.
Key Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks: G. Moreno (C) - Thumb. M. Walston (SP) - Elbow. Z. Gallen (SP) - Hamstring. K. Kelly (SP) - Shoulder. K. Nelson (RP) - Shoulder. M. Castro (RP) - Shoulder. A. Thomas (CF) - Hamstring. E. Rodriguez (SP) - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: M. Muncy (3B) - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) - Hip. M. Betts (SS) - Hand. M. Grove (RP) - Lat. Y. Yamamoto (SP) - Triceps. J. Kelly (RP) - Posterior. R. Brasier (RP) - Calf. C. Brogdon (RP) - Foot. K. Hurt (SP) - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) - Shoulder. G. Sheehan (SP) - Forearm. C. Kershaw (SP) - Elbow. A. Gonsolin (SP) - Elbow. D. May (SP) - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“I trusted my players, we just didn't execute.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Tuesday.
“All night long we fought, we took good at-bats and then just not relenting. It doesn't help my quality of life waiting for the seventh inning to come alive with the bats. Better late than never.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Arizona Diamondbacks
C Carroll (L) RF
K Marte (S) 2B
J Pederson (L) DH
C Walker (R) 1B
L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
G Moreno (R) C
E Suárez (R) 3B
A Thomas (L) CF
G Perdomo (S) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
W Smith (R) C
F Freeman (L) 1B
T Hernández (R) LF
A Pages (R) CF
M Rojas (R) SS
J Heyward (L) RF
C Taylor (R) 3B
G Lux (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.287)
Hits: Ketel Marte (92)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (18)
RBI: Christian Walker (55)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (14)
Wins: Zac Gallen (6)
Saves: Paul Sewald (11)
ERA: Paul Sewald (1.56)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Miguel Vargas (.324)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (105)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (27)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (64)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (16)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (13)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
