Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2024

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  ARID

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Diamondbacks +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Arizona Diamondbacks:  51-50 (3rd place, NL West)

Kansas City Royals:  56-45 (3rd place, AL Central)

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Arizona Diamondbacks:  6-4 last 10

Kansas City Royals:  8-2 last 10

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-50 record overall and have a road record of 25-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Royals on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Diamondbacks lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ryne Nelson is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 4.78 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 5.2 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Royals are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-45 record overall and have a home record of 35-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Royals won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Alec Marsh is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Michael Wacha is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Royals have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-45 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked a lot better in their home games this season with their 35-18 home record. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have looked decent with their 51-50 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL West and fighting to get into the Wild Card race. They are only 25-26 in their road games too. The Diamondbacks won their series coming out of the break but they lost the series opener here and gave up a ton of runs in that one. The Royals offense has been a lot better in their home games this season and they are going to find ways to put up runs here, especially with Nelson on the mound for the D-Backs. Nelson is 7-6 with a 4.78 ERA and he hasn't really been keeping runs off the board in his starts. He is coming off a good start in his last one which he only gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting too, but he has also given up a lot more runs in his road starts. The Royals will have Wacha on the mound here and he has been a solid starter this season as he has been in recent years too. He is 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA and hasn't been giving up nearly as many runs as Nelson has been. He is also coming off a good start which he gave up no runs in and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound, winning 4 games in a row now. Wacha is going to give the Royals the advantage here with the pitching matchup but they also put up 10 runs in the series opener and have the better offense with the way they have produced at home this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game.

Diamondbacks Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 24, 2024 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Royals 8 Diamondbacks 4.

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Arizona Diamondbacks: 50-50 (-3.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 100 games. 26-15 to the over in their last 41 games. 22-10 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 32 away games. 

Kansas City Royals: 35-17 (+16.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 52 home games. 33-19 (+12.94 units) on the runline in their last 52 home games. 13-6 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 19 games. 

Arizona Diamondbacks:  B. Walston (SP) Late Aug - Elbow. J. Montgomery (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Kelly (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. E. Rodriguez (SP) Early June - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Nelson (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

Kansas City Royals:  M. Melendez (RF) Late July - Ankle. D. Altavilla (RP) Mid Sep - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Taylor (RP) Late June - Bicep.

“I never said a word to Salvador Perez. I just wanted him to hear what I was going to say to Jordan. I told him, ‘If you think in my right mind I was going to ask my team to hit the future of Major League Baseball, one of the best players in the game, you’re crazy. You lost control of this situation, and you got it wrong.’ I wanted Salvy to hear that and take it back to their dugout.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Monday.

“It's hard to describe. The power he displays, the poise at the plate, it’s like he’s playing a different game.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Monday.

K Marte (S) 2B

G Moreno (R) C

L Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

C Walker (R) 1B

R Grichuk (R) DH

E Suárez (R) 3B

C Carroll (L) RF

K Newman (R) SS

A Thomas (L) CF

A Frazier (L) 2B

B Witt Jr. (R) SS

V Pasquantino (L) 1B

S Perez (R) C

M Massey (L) DH

H Renfroe (R) RF

D Waters (S) LF

M Garcia (R) 3B

K Isbel (L) CF

Batting Average:  Jose Herrera (.318)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (109)

Home Runs:  Christian Walker (22)

RBI:  Christian Walker (68)

Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (19)

Wins:  Ryne Nelson (7)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (15)

ERA:  Justin Martinez (1.67)

Batting Average:  Bobby Witt (.341)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (137)

Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (18)

RBI:  Bobby Witt (69)

Stolen Bases:  Maikel Garcia (23)

Wins:  Seth Lugo (12)

Saves:  James McArthur (17)

ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Managers:

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (8th season)

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)