by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 22, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024
Venue: Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Alabama -13.5, Oklahoma +13.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Alabama Crimson Tide: 8-2 (4-2) (6th place, SEC)
Oklahoma Sooners: 5-5 (1-5) (13th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Alabama Crimson Tide: won their last game at home against the Mercer Bears 52-7.
Oklahoma Sooners: lost their last game on the road against the Missouri Tigers 30-23.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
Alabama is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mercer 52-7. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 11/16 passes for 186 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen Milroe led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jihaad Campbell led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jihaad Campbell led the defense in sacks with 1. Qua Russaw came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Missouri 30-23. Jackson Arnold was the starting QB and he completed 15/24 passes for 74 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Xavier Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 56. Deion Burks led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Danny Stutsman led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 14 assisted tackles while R Mason Thomas and Jayden Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC and in the playoff conversation. They have losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee though so they can't afford to lose another game in this playoff race. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-5 record overall and their 1-5 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They started the season with some nice wins, but things quickly fell apart in conference play as they have struggled a lot against SEC opponents in their first year of being in the conference. They have looked better in their home games with their 4-2 home record, but their offense has been really up and down all season, not putting up a ton of points in their games even when they have a good game. Oklahoma is also coming off a road loss to Missouri in their last one while Alabama is coming off a win over Mercer, but Alabama has also been rolling in their games lately and their offense has been putting up a ton of points all season. Oklahoma only has bowl eligibility left to play for, but Alabama needs this win for the CFP and this is a game where their offense can run away with it once they pull ahead. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
Alabama Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 38 Oklahoma 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Alabama Crimson Tide Oklahoma Sooners prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Alabama Crimson Tide: 22-15 ATS in all lined games. 4-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 7-4 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 6-1 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 13-5 OVER off a home win. 11-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Oklahoma Sooners: 6-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 2-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 5-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 4-0 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 12-5 1H OVER in home lined games.
Key Injuries
Alabama Crimson Tide: Q. Robinson (LB) Out - Elbow. C. Adams (WR) Out - Lower Leg. K. Sabb (DB) Out - Lower Body.
Oklahoma Sooners: J. Farooq (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Bates (OL) Doubtful - Undisclosed. D. Burks (WR) Out - Concussion. J. Taylor (OL) Out - Undisclosed. A. Anthony (WR) Out - Undisclosed. T. Everett (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Barnes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OL) Out - Leg. K. Dolby (DB) Out - Ankle. N. Anderson (WR) Out - Quadricep. G. Williams (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gibson (WR) Out - Knee. G. Hatchett (OL) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“He’s just kind of a Swiss Army knife for us. You can just tell the love our team has for him." - Kalen DeBoer on Robbie Ouzts after his team’s win against Mercer in their last game.
“In the second half, I thought our guys fought with everything they had, and it wasn’t good enough. We've (coaches) got to do a better job to help them.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Williams, Ryan
WR Bernard, Germie
WR Law, Kendrick
TE Dippre, CJ
TE Ouzts, Robbie
QB Milroe, Jalen
RB Miller, Jam
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Thompson, Brenen
WR Hester, J.J.
WR Jordan, Jacob
TE Sharp, Bauer
QB Arnold, Jackson
RB Barnes, Jovantae
Statistical Leaders
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (2232)
Rushing: J. Milroe (608)
Receiving: R. Williams (767)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (17)
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: J. Arnold (1243)
Rushing: J. Barnes (577)
Receiving: B. Sharp (299)
Touchdowns: J. Barnes (6)
Coaches:
Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (1st season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
