Alabama Crimson Tide vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/29/2025

Game Time: 8:49 pm ET, Saturday, March 29, 2025

Venue:  Prudential Center, Newark, NJ

Where to Watch:  TBS, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Duke -7.5; Over/Under:  173.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Duke -7.5; Over/Under:  173.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Duke -7.5; Over/Under:  173.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  28-8 (13-5) (3rd place, SEC)

Duke Blue Devils:  34-3 (19-1) (1st place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Tom Stryker is on a HOT STREAK in college basketball on an 11-3 CBB RUN for +$7,710 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Duke Blue Devils:  5-0  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 28-8 record overall, a 13-5 record in conference games, and they are 7-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the BYU Cougars in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 34 while Aden Holloway was next on the team with 23. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Grant Nelson led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53% from the field, 49% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 81.2 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 21-15 this season and their O/U record is 20-15-1.

Duke is entering this game with a 34-3 record overall, a 19-1 conference record, and they are 7-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arizona Wildcats in their last game. Cooper Flagg led the team in points in that game with 30 while Kon Knueppel was next on the team with 20. Cooper Flagg led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Khaman Maluach led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 61.1% from the field, 57.9% from 3-point range, and 85.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.5 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 24-13 this season and their O/U record is 20-17.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 28-8 record overall and their 13-5 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have also looked great in neutral site games with their 7-2 record in those. Meanwhile, Duke has looked great in their games this season with their 34-3 record overall and their 19-1 conference record which had them right near the top of the ACC. They have also looked good in neutral site games as they are 7-2 in those. Duke has been crushing opponents all season and has one of the longest active win streaks in the nation right now, but all 3 of their games in this tournament have been getting closer and closer. They blew out their first 2 opponents even though Baylor was right in that game in the 1st half, but now they are coming off a 7 point win over Arizona in their last one. They were in control of that entire game, but Arizona did make it really close in the end as Duke started to let their lead go. Alabama has also been rolling in this tournament as they have crushed all 3 of their opponents by double digits. They are coming off a huge win over BYU in their last one, scoring 114 points and making a ton of shots in that game. Alabama is coming off a game in which they were really hot shooting the ball and they do have the best offense in the nation so when they are playing like that in their games, they can beat anybody. Duke has been one of the best teams in the nation all season, but so has Alabama, and Alabama has the offense to keep themselves in this game as Duke will not be able to run away with it. Duke may win this game, but it will be their closest game of the tournament with the way Alabama has been shooting the ball lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 29, 2025 (8:49 pm ET start time) is Duke 99 Alabama 96.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Alabama Crimson Tide Duke Blue Devils prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 4-1 ATS against ACC opponents. 15-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less. 37-25 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 14-7 OVER as an underdog. 30-19 OVER in non-conference games. 35-23 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Duke Blue Devils: 2-4 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 0-3 ATS at home against SEC opponents. 12-4 OVER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 5-2 1H OVER when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  H. Mallette (G) Out - Redshirt. L. Wrightsell (G) Out - Achilles. N. Cunningham (F) Out - Redshirt.

Duke Blue Devils:  None.

“I felt like the basket was as big as an ocean. I lost myself in the game.” - Mark Sears after their win against BYU in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament.

“That’s one of the best tournament performances I’ve ever coached or been a part of.” - Jon Scheyer after his team’s win against Arizona in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament. 

G. Nelson 

C. Omoruyi 

L. Philon 

M. Sears 

J. Stevenson

C. Flagg 

S. James 

K. Knueppel 

K. Maluach 

T. Proctor

PPG: M. Sears (18.7)

APG: M. Sears (4.9)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (7.6)

PPG: C. Flagg (18.9)

APG: C. Flagg (4.1)

Reb/G: C. Flagg (7.5)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)

Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (3rd season)