by Vegas Writer
Thursday, Jun 27, 2024I'm on a 15-6 roll in the WNBA for $8,270 net profit since June 3, and I'm in a nice groove right now. But now that we're coming up for air from the WNBA's Commissioner's Cup break, and there are four games on the card for Thursday, I'm going to give you a quick peek into the games.
When I can, on occasion, expect to see a breakdown of the WNBA card, with a short capsule, and the way I'd lean with the edge to a specific play.
Here you go for Thursday:
Minnesota (-10, 162') at Dallas - Fresh off their Commissioner's Cup championship in Long Island, New York, I'd normally be worried about the Minnesota Lynx and a letdown. But the Dallas Wings have been the most injury-plagued team in the league this season, and are missing players through the Olympic break. You can't replace certain elements, and the Lynx are a powerhouse that has proven to be the best team in the league behind one of the WNBA's most stringent defenses.
EDGE - Eight of the last 10 meetings have gone over, and even though the Lynx have stayed under in seven of their last 10, they're facing a defensive lethargic team whose games have landed north of the posted total in seven of its last 10. Minnesota might run the score up, forcing Dallas into a high-scoring game. I'd rather play the total over than a side in this one.
Connecticut (-10, 153) at Washington - This one is tricky, as the Connecticut Sun arrive in D.C. on the heels of back-to-back losses in Las Vegas and Seattle. Good thing for the Sun is they've had time to seethe, recover, and prepare. Bad thing for them is Washington is playing its best basketball of the season and rides into this one having covered seven of 10 while also going high in seven of 10.
EDGE - Connecticut allows a league-low 71.7 points per game. But it's allowed 72 or more in five of its last seven games. This team has some scorers, and considering the Mystics are at home and have been competitive all season - even during their season-opening 12-game skid - I think we could see a high-scoring game. The lean is to the over.
Las Vegas (-10', 170') at Chicago - Las Vegas is finally looking like the two-time defending champs we've become accustomed to. Chelsea Gray is back in the lineup and that is dangerous for any opponent. The Aces snapped a five-game ATS slide by winning and covering their last two at home, against formidable foes in Seattle and Connecticut. The Sky also snapped a skid of their own, a four-game slide on the hardwood, and they've won two straight.
EDGE - I'm not buying into Chicago's surge just yet, but I do believe the Aces are tired of looking like a lackadaisical bunch and want to return to their dominating ways. Of the three 10-point road favorites, I'd lean toward the champs more than any other team.
Indiana at Seattle (-8, 167') - The Caitlin Clark tour continues, and this trip could spell trouble for the rookie. Seattle is in after bouncing back from back-to-back road losses by knocking off Connecticut. Now, with time to prepare with a veteran-laden group, the Storm will be chomping at the bit to remain in the top four.
EDGE - The Storm are one of the most efficient teams at both ends of the court, and when you give coach Noelle Quinn time to prepare her veterans, who have been home all week since Sunday's win over the Sun, it's hard to ignore what the Storm offer. I'd lean on the home chalk.
When I can, on occasion, expect to see a breakdown of the WNBA card, with a short capsule, and the way I'd lean with the edge to a specific play.
Here you go for Thursday:
Minnesota (-10, 162') at Dallas - Fresh off their Commissioner's Cup championship in Long Island, New York, I'd normally be worried about the Minnesota Lynx and a letdown. But the Dallas Wings have been the most injury-plagued team in the league this season, and are missing players through the Olympic break. You can't replace certain elements, and the Lynx are a powerhouse that has proven to be the best team in the league behind one of the WNBA's most stringent defenses.
EDGE - Eight of the last 10 meetings have gone over, and even though the Lynx have stayed under in seven of their last 10, they're facing a defensive lethargic team whose games have landed north of the posted total in seven of its last 10. Minnesota might run the score up, forcing Dallas into a high-scoring game. I'd rather play the total over than a side in this one.
Connecticut (-10, 153) at Washington - This one is tricky, as the Connecticut Sun arrive in D.C. on the heels of back-to-back losses in Las Vegas and Seattle. Good thing for the Sun is they've had time to seethe, recover, and prepare. Bad thing for them is Washington is playing its best basketball of the season and rides into this one having covered seven of 10 while also going high in seven of 10.
EDGE - Connecticut allows a league-low 71.7 points per game. But it's allowed 72 or more in five of its last seven games. This team has some scorers, and considering the Mystics are at home and have been competitive all season - even during their season-opening 12-game skid - I think we could see a high-scoring game. The lean is to the over.
Las Vegas (-10', 170') at Chicago - Las Vegas is finally looking like the two-time defending champs we've become accustomed to. Chelsea Gray is back in the lineup and that is dangerous for any opponent. The Aces snapped a five-game ATS slide by winning and covering their last two at home, against formidable foes in Seattle and Connecticut. The Sky also snapped a skid of their own, a four-game slide on the hardwood, and they've won two straight.
EDGE - I'm not buying into Chicago's surge just yet, but I do believe the Aces are tired of looking like a lackadaisical bunch and want to return to their dominating ways. Of the three 10-point road favorites, I'd lean toward the champs more than any other team.
Indiana at Seattle (-8, 167') - The Caitlin Clark tour continues, and this trip could spell trouble for the rookie. Seattle is in after bouncing back from back-to-back road losses by knocking off Connecticut. Now, with time to prepare with a veteran-laden group, the Storm will be chomping at the bit to remain in the top four.
EDGE - The Storm are one of the most efficient teams at both ends of the court, and when you give coach Noelle Quinn time to prepare her veterans, who have been home all week since Sunday's win over the Sun, it's hard to ignore what the Storm offer. I'd lean on the home chalk.
