After successfully predicting the two winners (Carlos Alcaraz & Iga Swiatek) to win the French Open a month ago in my "2024 Roland Garros Preview," I'm back with a "2024 Wimbledon Preview" here for June/July. Although the main draw doesn't fully begin until July 1st, the qualification process begins on Monday (June 24th.) On that account, there is plenty for us to talk about. Let's take a look at what you can expect:
The Overall Favorites to win the Tournament:
With still over a week before the tournament begins, it's much harder to make predictions. Having said that, here's what I expect from the top players in both the Men's & Women's draws.
Men's 1. ) Despite being the favorite once again for this year's Wimbledon, Carlos Alcaraz (+150 to win) suffered an early exit in Queen's (ATP 500 Tournament.) He's coming off an excellent Clay court campaign, capping it off with the French Open title. That being said, is the straight sets loss to Jack Draper in the Round of 16 of Queen's something to worry about? I don't think so. But, we'll have to see.
Men's 2. ) Jannik Sinner (+175 to win) is right on the Spaniard's heels as one of the favorites in this slam. He's one of, if not the most consistent player on tour. He's already won the Australian Open this year and comes into the third Grand Slam of the year with just three losses so far this season (as of June 20th.) That's outrageous if you ask me.
Men's 3. ) Why isn't Novak Djokovic (+350 to win) one of these first two names that I mentioned? Well, the "GOAT of tennis" who's won 24 of these Grand Slams (incl. 7 at Wimbledon) suffered a very concerning knee injury in the French Open. Labelled as a medial meniscus tear in his right knee, Djokovic has recovered extremely well. In fact, he was given the "doubtful" label by many sources as we heard this news. Now, we all know how much he wants to get back on the court. He's already ruled out the Olympics in late July/August as the workload would've been very much for an older player. Will he be fit and ready to go for this year's Championships? We'll just have to wait and see.
Women's 1. ) On the women's side of things, Aryna Sabalenka (+300 to win) is actually the overall favorite to win this tournament. With her power and dominant service game, it's hard to see anyone being able to stop her with how the grass game is played. She's coming off a disappointing loss in the French Open to the 17yr old phenom Mirra Andreeva. She'll definitely want to win this tournament for her second slam win of 2024.
Women's 2. ) French Open champ Iga Swiatek (+350 to win) is the clear #1 player in the world right now. Her overall dominance to go along with her determination to win is very hard to ignore. It's not all that often that we have a player of this quality. Yes, Sabalenka might have the power to out duel most opponents. But, beating Swiatek will never be easy as long as the Pole stays healthy.
Women's 3. ) Elana Rybakina (+450 to win) is one to watch in this year's tournament. She's a lengthy player who's got extreme power herself to go along with some of the best ground strokes you'll ever see. Yes, she's won just one Grand Slam. However, Wimbledon is the one tournament that she's won and she's very deadly on this court. Do not count her out.
Full Odds to Win the Tournament (via. DraftKings:)
Men's:
Carlos Alcaraz +150
Jannik Sinner +175
Novak Djokovic +350
Alexander Zverev +1200
Daniil Medvedev +1400
Matteo Berrettini +2000
Alex De Minaur +2000
Jack Draper +2500
Hubert Hurkacz +2500
Grigor Dimitrov +2500
Women's:
Aryna Sabalenka +300
Iga Swiatek +350
Elena Rybakina +450
Coco Gauff +750
Naomi Osaka +1100
Ons Jabeur +1600
Marketa Vondrousova +2000
Mirra Andreeva +2200
Qinwen Zheng +2500
Emma Raducanu +2500
Burns' Wimbledon 2024 Projections:
As I mentioned earlier, I predicted that both Alcaraz (+260) & Swiatek (-165) would win the French Open. While both happened to be correct, those were the two favorites. In Wimbledon, I do believe that we could see a lot more upsets.
That being said, I believe that anyone can win this tournament on both the Men's & Women's side. Ultimately I'm going to go with Jannik Sinner and Elena Rybakina as my two picks for Wimbledon. Both are very strong at both serving and returning and should be very hard to beat on this surface.
Taylor Fritz (+2800) & Milos Raonic (+6500) could make some noise as they've both got insanely strong serves. On the Women's side, Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka are definitely very strong players, with powerful serves, that could do well as well. Just because I'm not taking them this time around, it doesn't mean that both Alcaraz and Swiatek can't win either. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised whatsoever if both end up winning once again.
Expect a very exciting tournament in this year's Wimbledon.
Best Bets: Jannik Sinner +175 to Win & Elena Rybakina +450 to Win.