Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 15, 2024
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders -7.5, Saints +7.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders -7.5, Saints +7.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders -7.5, Saints +7.5; Over/Under: 43 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 8-5 (2nd place, NFC East)
New Orleans Saints: 5-8 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Washington Commanders: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 42-19.
New Orleans Saints: won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 14-11.
Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with an 8-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 42-19. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 25/30 passes for 206 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 103 and 1 TD. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Mike Sainristil led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Frankie Luvu led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Saints are entering this game with a 5-8 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 14-11. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 219 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 44. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Ugo Amadi led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Khalen Saunders and Bryan Bresee each led the defense in sacks with 1. Demario Davis came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Commanders vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have looked good in their games this season with their 8-5 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They are holding down the last Wild Card spot in the NFC right now so they need to win this game, but they also have a chance at the division still if the Eagles slip up. They are going to have some momentum on their side off a huge win against the Titans in their last one, and now they are coming out of their bye week too so they have had extra time to prepare. Meanwhile, the Saints have looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC South at the moment. They aren't eliminated from the playoffs yet, but it is going to be a big uphill battle for them to make it. They haven't even looked great in their home games this year with their 3-4 home record, and they are coming off a questionable win against the Giants in their last one, only winning 14-11. The defense has looked better lately, but their offense hasn't looked good since losing Taysom Hill and they aren't going to be able to keep up with this Commanders offense that can put up points. The Commanders have a lot of rest coming out of their bye week and they are still playing for a playoff spot, a win here putting them in great position to make it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 15, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 28 Saints 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 7-2 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 7-3 1H ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-4 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 8-4 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.
New Orleans Saints: 18-28 ATS in all games. 7-15 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 28-19 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER off a road win. 15-7 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: None.
New Orleans Saints: T. Mathieu (SAF) Injured - Forearm. T. Hill (TE) Out - Knee. C. Ruiz (OL) Injured - Concussion. J. Johnson (TE) Injured - Foot. N. Saldiveri (OL) Out - Knee. K. Miller (RB) Questionable - Hamstring. B. Means (WR) Out - Ankle. L. Patrick (OL) Injured - Calf. T. Kpassagnon (DE) Questionable - Achilles. F. Moreau (TE) Injured - Shoulder. P. Werner (LB) Injured - Hand. E. McCoy (C) Injured - Groin.
Notable Quotes
“It’s always great to win. Obviously, winning always makes everything better." - Jayden Daniels after their win against the Titans in their last game.
“It keeps us in the mix. We’re down to the end of the year. It’s the middle of December and when you are playing games that matter, that still count and have a chance to affect the final outcome, that’s a big deal.” - Darren Rizzi after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
New Orleans Saints
WR Austin Jr., Kevin
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Wilson Jr., Cedrick
TE Moreau, Foster
QB Carr, Derek
RB Kamara, Alvin
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (2819)
Rushing: B. Robinson (640)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (896)
Touchdowns: T. McLaurin (9)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (2145)
Rushing: A. Kamara (938)
Receiving: A. Kamara (485)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (7)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
New Orleans Saints: Darren Rizzi (Interim)