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Washington Capitals vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/15/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Nov 14, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, November 15, 2024
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Capitals +142, Avalanche -170; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Capitals +140, Avalanche -170; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Capitals +140, Avalanche -170; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Washington Capitals:  10-4-1 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)
Colorado Avalanche:  9-8-0 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Washington Capitals:  6-3-1 last 10
Colorado Avalanche:  6-4-0 last 10



Washington Capitals vs Colorado Avalanche Preview and Analysis


The Capitals are entering this game with 21 points, a 10-4-1 record overall, and they are 3-2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one at home 4-3 in overtime. Aliaksei Protas, Taylor Raddysh, and Dylan Strome each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Aliaksei Protas, Pierre-Luc Dubois, Connor McMichael, Alexander Ovechkin, Matt Roy, and Rasmus Sandin each led the team in assists with 1 while Tom Wilson led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 34 shots with 30 saves and a .862 save percentage. Their offense has scored 62 goals this season averaging 4.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 44 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Avalanche are entering this game with 18 points, a 9-8-0 record overall, and they are 6-5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. Mikko Rantanen led the team in goals scored with 3, recording a hattrick, while Artturi Lehkonen scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nathan MacKinnon led the team in assists with 3 while Mikko Rantanen led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 15 shots with 13 saves and a .867 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 59 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 63 goals against them allowing 3.7 goals per game.


Capitals vs Avalanche Prediction

The current betting odds have the Capitals listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Capitals have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-4-1 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. They have looked great to start the season and they are really motivated this year with Ovechkin chasing down Gretzky's record. The team has also looked great on defense though as they haven't been giving up many goals in their games all year. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have looked good in their games this season with their 9-8-0 record overall, but that record only has them in the middle of their division in the West as they are off to a slower start. They were terrible to start the season and have looked better in their games lately, now with 3 wins in a row, but they still haven't looked great on defense with the goals they have been giving up. Defense has been a big problem for this team all season, one of the biggest reasons why they were so bad to start the year, and the Capitals are one of the best defensive teams in the NHL at the moment. The Capitals will be able to stay competitive in this game with their defense and they are also going to be looking to bounce back after blowing a lead and losing to the Leafs in OT the other night. The best way to place a bet here is on the Capitals to win this game. 

Capitals Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, November 15, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Capitals 3 Avalanche 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Washington Capitals: 27-17 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline off a home loss. 49-42 (+9 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 17-10 (+7.3 units) on the moneyline against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against. 23-14 OVER off a home loss. 27-19 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Colorado Avalanche: 119-79 (-4.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-25 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 59-40 (-7.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 26-18 OVER after a 3 game winning streak. 

Key Injuries


Washington Capitals:  S. Milano (LW) Out - Upper-body. N. Backstrom (C) Out For Season - Hip. T. Oshie (RW) Out For Season - Back.

Colorado Avalanche:  V. Nichushkin (RW) Out - NHLPA. G. Landeskog (LW) Out - Knee. R. Colton (C) Out - Foot. T. Poolman (D) Out - Head.


Notable Quotes


"Probably, honestly, a little bit worse than I originally thought at the time." - Spencer Carbery after his team’s loss against the Maple Leafs in their game on Wednesday.


“I don’t know if you can call it that. I think there’s ups and downs throughout the course of his rehab, especially now when he’s feeling better and getting closer. He’s pushing himself into different areas. I don’t think it’s anything unexpected.” - Jared Bednar on the injury to Gabriel Landeskog.


Starting Lineups


Washington Capitals
LW Alex Ovechkin
C Dylan Strome
RW Aliaksei Protas
LD Jakob Chychrun
RD John Carlson
G Logan Thompson

Colorado Avalanche
LW Jonathan Drouin
C Nathan MacKinnon
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Devon Toews
RD Cale Makar
G Alexandar Georgiev

Statistical Leaders


Washington Capitals
Points: D. Strome (23)
Goals: A. Ovechkin (10)
Assists: D. Strome (18)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.71)

Colorado Avalanche
Points: N. MacKinnon (33)
Goals: M. Rantanen (12)
Assists: N. MacKinnon (26)
GAA: J. Annunen (2.64)

Coaches:
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (2nd season)
Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)