Virginia Cavaliers vs Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/09/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UVA +7.5, Pitt -7.5; Over/Under:  57 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UVA +7.5, Pitt -7.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UVA +7.5, Pitt -7.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

Virginia Cavaliers:  4-4 (2-3) (13th place, ACC)

Pittsburgh Panthers:  7-1 (3-1) (5th place, ACC)

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Virginia Cavaliers:  lost their last game at home against the North Carolina Tar Heels 41-14

Pittsburgh Panthers:  lost their last game on the road against the SMU Mustangs 48-25.

Virginia is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against North Carolina 41-14. Anthony Colandrea was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 156 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions before getting replaced by Tony Muskett who completed 8/13 passes for 125 yards and 1 TD. Kobe Pace led the team in rushing yards with 24. JR Wilson led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Jonas Sanker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Pittsburgh is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against SMU 48-25. Eli Holstein was the starting QB and he completed 29/47 passes for 248 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Nate Yarnell who completed 9/10 passes for 99 yards and 2 TDs. Desmond Reid led the team in rushing yards with 49 and 1 TD. Kenny Johnson led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Braylan Lovelace led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kyle Louis and Jordan Bass each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Pittsburgh listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Pittsburgh has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They are coming off their first loss of the season in their last one, getting blown out on the road against SMU, but they will be looking to bounce back in a big way at home where they are 5-0 this season. Meanwhile, Virginia hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall and their 2-3 conference record which has them near the bottom of the ACC. They have looked better in their road games this year with their 2-1 road record, but they are coming off a really bad loss to UNC in their last one. Their defense looked terrible in that game and their offense didn't do much either, even needing to make a QB change. This has been a problem for them all season too, their defense giving up a ton of points in their games. Pittsburgh has been the better defensive team by far all season and they have looked a lot better in their home games all year. They will be looking to bounce back from their loss in this one and that Virginia offense isn't going to be able to do much here. The best way to place a bet here is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread in this game. 

Virginia Pittsburgh Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Pittsburgh 42 Virginia 24.

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Virginia Cavaliers: 1-5 1H ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 0-4 1H ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 1-6 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 7-3 OVER in road lined games. 8-2 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-3 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Pittsburgh Panthers: 8-2 1H ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 6-3 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 3-0 1H ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more. 22-11 OVER in all lined games. 14-6 OVER as a favorite. 8-3 OVER after playing their last game on the road.

Virginia Cavaliers:  A. Clary (SAF) Questionable - Knee. B. Stevens (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Harris (WR) Questionable - Knee. T. Furnish (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Griese (RB) Questionable - Foot. K. Gay (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Ennis (TE) Out - Knee. J. Hammond (DT) Out - Shoulder. E. Sipe (OL) Questionable - Foot. D. Metcalf (OL) Out - Achilles.

Pittsburgh Panthers:  B. Taylor (OL) Out - Knee.

“I owe an apology to the administration, to the players in the locker room, the staff. I did not do a good job of having them prepared to play. What you saw out there today, that’s on me. I have two weeks to really figure it out.” - Tony Elliott after his team’s loss against UNC in their last game. 

“The message is it’s one game. It’s hard to win every week. It’s hard to be on every week. And, you know, maybe as a team and as a staff we didn’t handle success. .. Our guys will handle adversity. This is adversity, and our guys will bounce back. You can see in that locker room, they're not discouraged.” - Pat Narduzzi after his team’s loss against SMU in their last game. 

WR Fields, Malachi

WR Harris, Trell

WR Tyree, Chris

TE Neville, Tyler

QB Colandrea, Anthony

RB Pace, Kobe 

WR Johnson, Kenny 

WR Mumpfield, Konata 

WR Williams Jr., Raphael 

TE Bartholomew, Gavin 

QB Holstein, Eli

RB Reid, Desmond

Passing: A. Colandrea (1805)

Rushing: K. Pace (390)

Receiving: M. Fields (654)

Touchdowns: G. Brosterhous (4)

Passing: E. Holstein (2056)

Rushing: D. Reid (590)

Receiving: K. Mumpfield (541)

Touchdowns: D. Reid (8)

Coaches:

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (3rd season)

Pittsburgh Panthers: Pat Narduzzi (10th season)