Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024

Venue:  Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vandy +21, Mizzou -21; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vandy +21, Mizzou -21; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vandy +21, Mizzou -21; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Vanderbilt Commodores:  2-1 (0-0) (13th place, SEC)

Missouri Tigers:  3-0 (0-0) (9th place, SEC)

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Vanderbilt Commodores:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia State Panthers 36-32.

Missouri Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Boston College Eagles 27-21.

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia State 36-32. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 18/33 passes for 270 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Sedrick Alexander led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 1 TD. Eli Stowers led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Kolbey Taylor led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Bryan Longwell and Aeneas Dicosmo each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Bryan Longwell came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Missouri is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Boston College 27-21. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 264 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nate Noel led the team in rushing yards with 121. Luther Burden III led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Chuck Hicks led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Khalil Jacobs and Corey Flagg Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Dreyden Norwood and Tre'Vez Johnson each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 21 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has a 2-1 record overall this season and they have been a bit of a mixed bag so far. They looked good in their 2 wins this season, even pulling off an upset win over Virginia Tech, but they are coming off a bad road loss to Georgia State in their last one. They will be looking to bounce back in this first conference game of the season though and they do have a much improved team from last season. Meanwhile, Missouri has looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall, but they haven't really been blowing teams out. They won their season opener 51-0 against a team from the FCS and then beat Buffalo 38-0, but those are both much weaker teams in strength and as good as their defense was against Buffalo, the offense didn't really have an explosion. They are coming off another win at home last week but they were finally tested against a better team and didn't really blow them out. They were in control of the game with a lead for most of the time, but they still only beat Boston College 27-21, even allowing them to come back with a late score. This is the first conference game of the season for both teams here and Vanderbilt does have a much improved offense this season so they are going to put up points in this game and even if Missouri has a bigger lead, there could be a backdoor cover with Vandy coming back late in the game. This is just too many points for Missouri in their first conference game. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Vanderbilt Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Missouri 35 Vanderbilt 21.

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Vanderbilt Commodores: 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. 3-8 ATS in the 1st half of their last 11 games. 3-2 to the 1st half under in their last 5 road games. 

Missouri Tigers: 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. 9-3 ATS in the 1st half of their last 12 games. 8-4 to the 1st half under in their last 12 games. 

Vanderbilt Commodores:  B. Coleman (TE) Out - Collarbone. M. Davis (CB) Out - Achilles.

Missouri Tigers:  J. Wayne (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. S. Horn (QB) Out - Elbow. D. Smith (DE) Out - Knee.

"I think we maybe punched beyond expectations early, not internal expectations, but external. And that's fine. We can't allow that external perception to drive anything that we do. But I think sometimes you get distracted by your own success, and again, we have a good team, but we're not good enough to play a distracted game." - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against GA State in their last game. 

“Was not pretty, wasn’t our best performance top to bottom but really responded. We hadn’t been challenged all year and (I) was concerned with so many new faces about what that response would be. Today I think you saw a team that’s committed to each other, a team that responds, a team that’s never out of the fight.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s win against BC in their last game. 

WR Sherrill, Junior

WR Skinner Jr., Quincy

WR Hoskins, Richie

TE Spence, Cole

QB Pavia, Diego 

RB Alexander, Sedrick

FB Fisher, Gabe

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Cooper, Mookie 

WR Burden III, Luther 

TE Norfleet, Brett 

QB Cook, Brady

RB Noel, Nate 

Passing: D. Pavia (543)

Rushing: D. Pavia (195)

Receiving: E. Stowers (163)

Touchdowns: S. Alexander (4)

Passing: B. Cook (720)

Rushing: N. Noel (242)

Receiving: T. Wease (232)

Touchdowns: B. Cook (4)

Coaches:

Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (4th season)

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (5th season)