Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/05/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024

Venue:  Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID 

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  USU +27, BSU -27; Over/Under:  66.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  USU +27, BSU -27; Over/Under:  66.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  USU +26.5, BSU -26.5; Over/Under:  66.5 points

Utah State Aggies:  1-3 (0-0) (9th place, MWC)

Boise State Broncos:  3-1 (0-0) (6th place, MWC)

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Utah State Aggies:  lost their last game on the road against the Temple Owls 45-29.

Boise State Broncos:  won their last game at home against the Washington State Cougars 45-24.

Utah State is entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Temple 45-29. Spencer Petras was the starting QB and he completed 26/44 passes for 293 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rahsul Faison led the team in rushing yards with 148 and 1 TD. Jalen Royals led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Vincent led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Miguel Jackson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Boise State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Washington State 45-24. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 12/21 passes for 184 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 259 and 4 TDs. Matt Lauter led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Ty Benefield and Zion Washington each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ahmed Hassanein and Jayden Virgin each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Ty Benefield came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 27 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked great in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall. They have played against some tough opponents this season and they have won 3 of their 4 games, their only loss being on the road against Oregon in a game they almost won. The offense has been really good as they have one of the best running backs in the country if not the best, Ashton Jeanty. Meanwhile, Utah State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall. They have lost both of their road games this season and their offense hasn't looked good. Both of their QBs have struggled to produce offense and they will continue to struggle on the road here. Boise State hasn't had a great defense as they have been giving up a lot of points, but they looked a lot better in their last game against Wazzu and this will be one of the weakest offenses they see all season. Utah State won't put the points up to keep up with what Jeanty and this Boise State offense can do at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game. 

Utah State Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Boise State 49 Utah State 17.

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Utah State Aggies: 3-11 ATS in road lined games. 3-8 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 2-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 6-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 4-1 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 

Boise State Broncos: 9-3 ATS as a home favorite. 11-5 ATS against conference opponents. 6-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 10-4 OVER as a home favorite. 13-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more.

Utah State Aggies:  T. Motu'apuaka (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Petras (QB) Questionable - Leg. R. Briggs (RB) Out - Leg.

Boise State Broncos:  R. Carreon (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Dubar (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Terry (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Merriweather (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.

“The big thing was just getting healthy, we’ve got a bunch of guys that are banged up… getting back to full force which is obviously going to be needed for this week, but then it’s just getting back to doing what we do and paying attention to the small details… now it’s just a consistency deal and that was our main focus.” - Nate Dreiling on his team’s bye week.

“He was relentless. Talk about a guy who puts his team on his back, loves this team, and will find a way to score because that’s what the team needs — that’s Ashton. When your best players are your hardest workers, you’ve always got a shot.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against WSU in their last game. 

WR Royals, Jalen 

WR Tia, Otto

WR White, Kyrese

TE Lane, Broc

QB Petras, Spencer

RB Faison, Rahsul

WR Strachan, Prince

WR Bolt, Austin 

WR Caples, Latrell 

TE Lauter, Matt 

QB Madsen, Maddux 

RB Jeanty, Ashton

FB Crowe, Tyler 

Passing: B. Barnes (524)

Rushing: R. Faison (395)

Receiving: J. Royals (280)

Touchdowns: K. White (2)

Passing: M. Madsen (800)

Rushing: A. Jeanty (845)

Receiving: C. Camper (271)

Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (13)

Coaches:

Utah State Aggies: Nate Dreiling (1st season)

Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)