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UNLV Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/22/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Nov 21, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, November 22, 2024
Venue:  CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNLV -7.5, SJSU +7.5; Over/Under:  61 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNLV -7.5, SJSU +7.5; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNLV -7.5, SJSU +7.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Season Record

UNLV Rebels:  8-2 (4-1) (3rd place, MWC)
San Jose State Spartans:  6-4 (3-3) (4th place, MWC)

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Recent Form
UNLV Rebels:  won their last game at home against the San Diego State Aztecs 41-20.
San Jose State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Boise State Broncos 42-21.


UNLV Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans Preview and Analysis


UNLV is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against San Diego State 41-20. Hajj-Malik Williams was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 244 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Greg Burrell led the team in rushing yards with 58 and 1 TD. Jacob De Jesus led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jackson Woodard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jalen Catalon and Fisher Camac each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jalen Catalon came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
San Jose State is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against San Jose State 42-21. Walker Eget was the starting QB and he completed 34/50 passes for 446 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Floyd Chalk IV led the team in rushing yards with 37. Justin Lockhart led the receivers with 172 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Pollard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Soane Toia led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction

The current betting odds have UNLV listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNLV has looked good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the MWC. They are still in the race for the MWC Championship but they can't afford to lose another game since they already lost to Boise State. They are coming off a big win over SDSU in their last one and they have looked better in their road games this year with their 5-0 road record. Meanwhile, San Jose State has looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall which has them bowl eligible, but their 3-3 conference record has them in the middle of the MWC and out of the Championship race. They have looked better in their home games with their 4-1 home record, but their defense has been giving up a ton of points all season and has struggled against better opponents too. They are coming off a bad loss to Boise State in their last one and UNLV was able to put up a fight against Boise State when they played. San Jose State has been putting up a ton of points in their games too, but so has UNLV and UNLV has the better defense to get the stops against SJSU here. The best way to place a bet here is on UNLV to cover the spread in this game. 

UNLV San Jose State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 22, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is UNLV 45 SJSU 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


UNLV Rebels: 12-4 ATS in road lined games. 9-4 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 7-2 ATS off a home win. 8-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 13-6 OVER as a favorite. 8-2 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 11-2 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

San Jose State Spartans: 0-3 ATS as a home underdog. 4-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 1-3 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 5-0 OVER after allowing 37 points or more last game. 8-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 8-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries


UNLV Rebels:  None.

San Jose State Spartans:  M. Miller (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“Excited that we’re getting some national notoriety. That sets up more meaningful games in November. That’s the expectation of the standard of what this program is and what we’re going to be.” - Barry Odom after his team’s win against SDSU in their last game. 


“If we take care of the ball we're going to win that game. It's hard for me to swallow because that was my main message for our team was to win the turnover battle to have a shot, and we lost it going away.” - Ken Niumatalolo after his team’s loss against BSU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


UNLV Rebels
WR Cain, Casey
WR White III, Ricky 
WR De Jesus, Jacob
TE Ballungay, Kaleo
QB Williams, Hajj-Malik 
RB Thomas, Jai'Den

San Jose State Spartans
WR Lockhart, Justin
WR Hurry, TreyShun
WR Nash, Nick 
TE Stewart, Jacob
QB Brown, Emmett 
RB Bates, Jabari

Statistical Leaders


UNLV Rebels
Passing: H. Williams (1436)
Rushing: H. Williams (646)
Receiving: R. White (867)
Touchdowns: R. White (10)

San Jose State Spartans
Passing: W. Eget (1758)
Rushing: F. Chalk (596)
Receiving: N. Nash (1282)
Touchdowns: N. Nash (14)

Coaches:
UNLV Rebels: Barry Odom (2nd season)
San Jose State Spartans: Ken Niumatalolo (1st season)