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UCLA Bruins vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024
Venue:  Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UCLA +24, LSU -24; Over/Under:  56 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UCLA +24, LSU -24; Over/Under:  56.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UCLA +24.5, LSU -24.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Season Record

UCLA Bruins:  1-1 (0-1) (18th place, Big Ten)
LSU Tigers:  2-1 (1-0) (2nd place, SEC)

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Recent Form
UCLA Bruins:  lost their last game at home against the Indiana Hoosiers 42-13.
LSU Tigers:  won their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 36-33.


UCLA Bruins vs LSU Tigers Preview and Analysis


UCLA is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Indiana 42-13. Ethan Garbers was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 137 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. T.J. Harden led the team in rushing yards with 48 and 1 TD. T.J. Harden led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Kain Medrano led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
LSU is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against South Carolina 36-33. Garrett Nussmeier was the starting QB and he completed 24/40 passes for 285 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Caden Durham led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 2 TDs. Aaron Anderson led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Whit Weeks led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Bradyn Swinson led the defense in sacks with 3. Zy Alexander came away with the only interception for them in that one.


UCLA vs LSU Prediction

The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 24 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU is 2-1 overall this season but they haven't looked great in their games. They lost their season opener to USC and have won their last 2 games now, but even their last win was a close call, only beating South Carolina by 3 points in a game where they were trailing a lot of the time. Their defense clearly has some big issues this season, but they won't have as much trouble defending in this one. Meanwhile, UCLA is 1-1 overall this season and hasn't looked great in their 2 games either. They barely beat Hawaii in their season opener, scoring just 16 points in a 16-13 win, and they were blown out at home by Indiana in their last game. Indiana has improved this season, but they still aren't a powerhouse team in the Big Ten so this is going to be a really long debut season for UCLA in the conference. Now they have to face a team from the SEC on the road here and LSU is a really tough environment to go into. LSU will have a better game defensively at home against this struggling UCLA offense, and the LSU offense has still been rolling in their games so points are going to come considering Indiana just put up 42 on the road against this UCLA defense. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game. 

UCLA LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is LSU 45 UCLA 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


UCLA Bruins: 2-10 ATS in the 1st half of their last 12 games. 3-9 ATS in the 1st quarter of their last 12 games. 3-9 (-15 units) on the 1st half moneyline in their last 12 games. 

LSU Tigers: 7-1 (+5.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 8 home games. 4-2 (+1.60 units) on the 1st quarter moneyline in their last 6 home games. 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games. 

Key Injuries


UCLA Bruins:  C. Stephens (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Abarca (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Price (DL) Out - Undisclosed. M. Thorpe-Taylor (OL) Out - Undisclosed. S. Summa (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Magna (OL) Out - Undisclosed. L. Edwards (LB) Out - Undisclosed. O. Akinshilo (OL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Murrell (RB) Out - Knee. G. Smith (DL) Out - Ankle. H. Habermehl (TE) Out - Knee. T. Leigber (RB) Out - Knee. D. Pellot (LB) Out - Knee.

LSU Tigers:  D. Womack (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Roberts (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Malbrue (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Jackson (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Ibieta (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Hilton (WR) Questionable - Ankle. J. Allen (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Guillory (DT) Out - Achilles. J. Emery (RB) Out - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“This hurts. I’m a Bruin through and through. I don’t want to get emotional, good or bad, but it hurts. That’s not something … It’s not acceptable, and we’re gonna fix it.” - DeShaun Foster after his team’s loss against Indiana in their last game. 


“So proud of the grit and the perseverance of this team. They're not going to give up. That's in their DNA. They're not going to let the rope slip." - Brian Kelly after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


UCLA Bruins
WR Sturdivant, J.Michael 
WR Mokiao-Atimalala, Titus
WR Flores Jr., Rico
TE Matavao, Moliki 
QB Garbers, Ethan
RB Harden, T.J.
FB Adkins, Anthony

LSU Tigers
WR Hilton Jr., Chris 
WR Daniels, CJ 
WR Lacy, Kyren 
TE Taylor, Mason 
QB Nussmeier, Garrett 
RB Williams, Josh 

Statistical Leaders


UCLA Bruins
Passing: E. Garbers (409)
Rushing: E. Garbers (68)
Receiving: R. Flores (133)
Touchdowns: R. Flores (1)

LSU Tigers
Passing: G. Nussmeier (895)
Rushing: C. Durham (102)
Receiving: A. Anderson (223)
Touchdowns: K. Lacy (5)

Coaches:
UCLA Bruins: Deshaun Foster (1st season)
LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (3rd season)