Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/21/2022

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 21, 2022

Venue:  Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Leafs -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  7 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Leafs -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Leafs -105, Lightning -115; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

 

Toronto Maple Leafs:  51-20-6 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Tampa Bay Lightning:  46-22-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

 

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Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-1-1 last 10

Tampa Bay Lightning:  4-4-2 last 10

 

 

 

The Leafs are coming into this game with 108 points, a 51-20-6 record overall, and they are 22-12-4 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Buffalo Sabres while their 6 wins in that span came against the Dallas Stars, the Montreal Canadiens, the Washington Capitals, the Ottawa Senators, the New York Islanders, and the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game. They won that game at home 5-2. Ilya Mikheyev, William Nylander, David Kämpf, Timothy Liljegren, and Jason Spezza each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Ilya Mikheyev, William Nylander, Jason Spezza, and Colin Blackwell led the team in shots on net in that game with 3 each. Jack Campbell was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 39 shots with 37 saves and a .949 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 300 goals this season averaging 3.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 237 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game. 

 

 

The Lightning are coming into this game with 100 points, a 46-22-8 record overall, and they are 24-8-6 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Anaheim Ducks and the Winnipeg Jets while their loss came against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game. They lost that game at home 4-3. Ross Colton scored 2 goals in that game while Nikita Kucherov scored 1 goal for them in that one. Corey Perry led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 31 shots with 27 saves and a .871 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 253 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 216 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game. 

 

 

The Leafs have been starting to rest some of their players in these last few games but they have still been playing very well coming into this game. They are coming off of a 5-2 win at home without Matthews in the lineup and they are going up against a Lightning team that has not been playing very well in recent games. The Lightning have lost 2 of their last 4 games and they are coming off of a loss at home to the Red Wings. The Red Wings have been awful this season and the Lightning struggled in that game at home as they never really had a lead for the entire game. The Leafs are still rolling through teams in their games and with the way the Lightning have been playing against teams at the bottom of the standings recently, the best bet in this game is to back the Leafs to win here.

 

Maple Leafs Lightning Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, April 21, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 5 Lightning 3.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: 129-87 (-25.8 Units) ML in all games. 54-42 (-14.6 Units) ML in a road game where where the total is 6 or more. 23-10 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 11-18 (-19.6 Units) ML after 3 or more consecutive overs. 15-16 (-13.6 Units) ML after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 19-11 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored.

 

 

Toronto Maple Leafs:  J. Muzzin (D) Out Tues. - Undisclosed injury. A. Matthews (C) Out Tues - Undisclosed injury. R. Sandin (D) Late April - Knee injury. P. Mrazek (G) Mid May - Groin injury. O. Kase (RW) Out indefinitely - Concussion.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  B. Seabrook (D) out for season - Shoulder injury.

 

 

 

“He was excellent. It was great to see.” - Sheldon Keefe on Campbell in his team’s win against the Flyers on Tuesday.

 

 

“It’s the story that stood the test of time for not winning. They didn’t stick with the process is a perfect example of it. They had the puck the whole first period it didn’t go in for them, but there’s no reason to change anything that went on. And we did. We pressed and it’s shades of times when things didn’t go so well for us.’’ - Jon Cooper on his team’s loss against the Red Wings on Tuesday night.

 

 

 

LW Mikheyev, Ilya

C Tavares, John

RW Blackwell, Colin

LD Rielly, Morgan 

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Campbell, Jack

 

LW Paul, Nicholas

C Point, Brayden

RW Kucherov, Nikita

LD Hedman, Victor

RD Rutta, Jan

G Elliott, Brian

 

 

Points: A. Matthews (102)

Goals: A. Matthews (58)

Assists: M. Marner (60)

GAA: J.Campbell (2.71)

 

Points: S. Stamkos (84)

Goals: S. Stamkos (33)

Assists: V. Hedman (53)

GAA: B. Elliott (2.35)

 

Coaches:

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (3rd season)

Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (10th season)