Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/11/2025

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 11, 2025

Venue:  Moody Center, Austin, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  14-1 (1-1) (7th place, SEC)

Texas Longhorns:  11-4 (0-2) (13th place, SEC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  4-1  last 5

Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

Tennessee is entering this game with a 14-1 record overall, a 1-1 record in conference games, and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Florida Gators in their last game. Zakai Zeigler and Chaz Lanier each led the team in points per game in that game with 10 while Igor Miličić Jr. and Felix Okpara each were next on the team with 8. Jahmai Mashack led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Igor Miličić Jr., Felix Okpara, and Chaz Lanier each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 21.4% from the field, 13.8% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 57.1 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 10-5 this season and their O/U record is 5-10.

Texas is entering this game with an 11-4 record overall, a 0-2 conference record, and they are 8-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Arthur Kaluma led the team in points in that game with 34 while Jordan Pope was next on the team with 19. Arthur Kaluma and Tre Johnson each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Arthur Kaluma led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.4% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.9 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 8-7 this season and their O/U record is 7-6-2.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall, but their 0-2 conference record has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They are coming off a home loss to Auburn in their last one, but that was a tighter game against the 2nd ranked team in the nation which they only lost by 5 points. They held their own in that game and they have looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 8-2 home record. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 14-1 record overall, but their 1-1 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They haven't looked bad in their road games this year with their 2-1 road record, but their 1 road loss this season did come in conference play and they looked terrible in that game. They are coming off that loss in their last one, losing to Florida 73-43, and they will be looking to bounce back with a better performance here, but this is still a lot of points for a team that just struggled heavily in their last road game. Texas isn't a bad team either and played a tight game with Auburn in their last one so they are not only looking to bounce back too, but they are also looking to pick up their first SEC win of the season and will bring their best effort for Tennessee after how they looked in their last game. Texas will fight to win this game and they have the talent to keep it close in a loss. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 11, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 70 Texas 67.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 2-6 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 0-3 ATS after scoring 55 points or less. 7-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 7-2 OVER off a road loss. 5-2 OVER off a road loss against a conference rival. 

Texas Longhorns: 13-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 5-1 ATS off a home loss. 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 25-16 OVER in all home games. 26-18 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 11-4 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less.

Tennessee Volunteers:  None.

Texas Longhorns:  None.

"This will be the first time (we are) playing there. So it'll be different in terms of when I think about going back to Texas, I think of the Erwin Center, where we were for 17 years." - Rick Barnes on playing Texas on Saturday.

"I thought our guys came out and we had good effort, the first half we turned the ball over more than we have all year in terms of taking care of the basketball." - Rodney Terry after his team’s loss against Auburn in their last game. 

C. Lanier 

J. Mashack 

I. Milicic 

F. Okpara 

Z. Zeigler

T. Johnson 

A. Kaluma 

J. Pope 

K. Shedrick 

C. Weaver

PPG: C. Lanier (19.6)

APG: Z. Zeigler (7.5)

Reb/G: I. Milicic (8.8)

PPG: T. Johnson (18.4)

APG: J. Larry (4.1)

Reb/G: A. Kaluma (8.3)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (10th season)

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (3rd season)