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Tennessee Volunteers vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Sep 19, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024
Venue:  Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -7, Oklahoma +7; Over/Under:  57 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -7, Oklahoma +7; Over/Under:  57.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -7, Oklahoma +7; Over/Under:  57 points

Season Record

Tennessee Volunteers:  3-0 (0-0) (5th place, SEC)
Oklahoma Sooners:  3-0 (0-0) (10th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Kent State Golden Flashes 71-0.
Oklahoma Sooners:  won their last game at home against the Tulane Green Wave 34-19.


Tennessee Volunteers vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis


Tennessee is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Kent State 71-0. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 10/16 passes for 173 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 120 and 2 TDs. Dont'e Thornton Jr. led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jakobe Thomas led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Tulane 34-19. Jackson Arnold was the starting QB and he completed 18/29 passes for 169 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jackson Arnold led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 2 TDs. Deion Burks led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Danny Stutsman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while R Mason Thomas led the defense in sacks with 3. Billy Bowman Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Tennessee vs Oklahoma Prediction

The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They are coming off a win against Tulane last week after having a big scare at home against Houston the week before. Their offense has been really up and down this season but their defense has been solid and that is going to carry them a long way in this conference. This will be their 1st conference game of the season and their 1st conference game being in the SEC so they will be looking to put on a show in this one. Meanwhile, Tennessee has also looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. Tennessee has blown out all 3 of their opponents this season, but they haven't really been tested in their games either. Their best win was a 51-10 win over NC State at a neutral site which was more like a road game for them, but NC State hasn't been great this season either. This is going to be a battle between a team with a very strong offense that can put up a ton of points and a team with a very strong defense that can get the stops needed to win. Oklahoma hasn't had a great offense this season, but they can do enough to put up points on this Tennessee defense while their own defense slows down this Tennessee offense and keeps them in the game with a chance to win. Oklahoma may not pull off the upset win here, but their defense will keep them in this game and they are going to bring their best effort for this 1st conference game at home in the SEC. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 34 Oklahoma 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Tennessee Volunteers: 18-6 ATS as a favorite. 10-5 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 12-5 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 15-8 1H OVER as a favorite. 10-4 1H OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 13-7 1H OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 

Oklahoma Sooners: 5-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 3-6 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 5-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 9-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-2 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

Key Injuries


Tennessee Volunteers:  K. Perry (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Seldon (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Matthews (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Okoye (DL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Staley (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.

Oklahoma Sooners:  N. Anderson (WR) Probable - Undisclosed. G. Hatchett (OL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Hickman (OL) Out - Ankle. J. Pettaway (WR) Questionable - Knee. J. Gibson (WR) Out - Knee. J. Farooq (WR) Out - Foot.

Notable Quotes


“(Sampson) has great vision and great pace. He presses the line of scrimmage and is elusive in space.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Kent State in their last game. 


“You go into a week where there’s a lot of questions and concern, if you will, and they did a great job of managing the week and focusing on what they need to do to improve and get better and take another step forward." - Brent Venables after his team’s win against Tulane in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Volunteers
WR McCoy, Bru 
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR White, Squirrel 
TE Kitselman, Miles
QB Iamaleava, Nico 
RB Sampson, Dylan
FB Harrison, Cole

Oklahoma Sooners
WR Farooq, Jalil 
WR Thompson, Brenen
WR Burks, Deion 
TE Sharp, Bauer
QB Arnold, Jackson 
RB Sawchuk, Gavin 

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: N. Iamaleava (698)
Rushing: D. Sampson (357)
Receiving: D. Thornton (169)
Touchdowns: D. Sampson (9)

Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: J. Arnold (484)
Rushing: J. Arnold (159)
Receiving: D. Burks (169)
Touchdowns: D. Burks (3)

Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (3rd season)