Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/05/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 5, 2024

Venue:  Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -14, Arkansas +14; Over/Under:  57 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -13.5, Arkansas +13.5; Over/Under:  57 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -13.5, Arkansas +13.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  4-0 (1-0) (2nd place, SEC)

Arkansas Razorbacks:  3-2 (1-1) (10th place, SEC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game on the road against the Oklahoma Sooners 25-15.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Texas A&M Aggies 21-17.

Tennessee is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma 25-15. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 194 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Dylan Sampson led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 1 TD. Bru McCoy led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Keenan Pili led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tyre West and Jaxson Moi each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jermod McCoy came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Arkansas is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas A&M 21-17. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 23/41 passes for 279 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Ja'Quinden Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 37 and 1 TD. Isaac TeSlaa led the receivers with 120 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Landon Jackson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Landon Jackson led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record. They won their first conference game of the season on the road against Oklahoma in their last one, and now they are coming out of their bye week with extra time to prepare for this game. Meanwhile, Arkansas has looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall, but they are 1-1 in their conference games and coming off a loss in their last one. They just lost a tough game against Texas A&M at a neutral site and their offense really struggled in that game. Their offense has been good this season, but they have struggled against better defenses and Tennessee has the defense to shut them down. Tennessee hasn't been giving up a ton of points this season and even in their win over Oklahoma, they only gave up 15 points. They also have a really strong offense that has been putting up a ton of points all year so they are going to put up points in this game with that Arkansas defense not being nearly as good as Oklahoma's. Arkansas will put up some points at home, but eventually Tennessee's offense will be too much for their defense to handle and Arkansas won't have a way back in the game. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 5, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 38 Arkansas 14.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 21-9 ATS in all lined games. 19-6 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 10-5 1H OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 7-2 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 15-6 1H OVER in games played on a grass field.

Arkansas Razorbacks: 4-10 ATS in home lined games. 1-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 2-7 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 21-8 OVER in all lined games. 10-4 OVER in home lined games. 10-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 

Tennessee Volunteers:  K. Perry (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Seldon (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Matthews (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Okoye (DL) Out - Undisclosed. B. Staley (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  J. Wilson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. James (WR) Out - Suspension. R. Dubinion (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Mitchell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Kutas (OL) Questionable - Back.

“We’ve got a good football team. We’ve got high expectations. And they continue to compete extremely hard every day to grow, to become better. This was our first road test in the league. Tonight was about this ’24 football team, and I’m really proud of how they performed.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Oklahoma in their last game. 

“I thought their defense was extremely physical. We knew it going in. We thought that was the best part of their football team, and they certainly showed it.” - Sam Pittman after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

WR McCoy, Bru 

WR Brazzell II, Chris

WR White, Squirrel 

TE Kitselman, Miles

QB Iamaleava, Nico 

RB Sampson, Dylan

FB Harrison, Cole

WR Armstrong, Andrew 

WR Broden, Tyrone 

WR Sategna, Isaiah

TE Hasz, Luke

QB Green, Taylen 

RB Jackson, Ja'Quinden

Passing: N. Iamaleava (892)

Rushing: D. Sampson (449)

Receiving: D. Thornton (242)

Touchdowns: D. Sampson (10)

Passing: T. Green (1236)

Rushing: J. Jackson (509)

Receiving: A. Armstrong (420)

Touchdowns: J. Jackson (9)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)

Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (5th season)