Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/21/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 21, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +130, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  48-49 (4th place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  59-40 (2nd place, AL East)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

The Rays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-49 record overall and have a road record of 21-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Rays lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Taj Bradley is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Shane Baz is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 4.1 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-40 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Yankees won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-4 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 59-40 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 26-19 road record. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 48-49 record overall and they have struggled to stay above .500 this season. They haven't looked that great in their home games either, going 21-22 in those. The Yankees haven't looked great lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, but they were able to get a win coming out of the break and that will give them a boost in this series as they try to chase down the Orioles. The Rays haven't looked any better in their games lately either, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Rays are also going to have Baz on the mound here and he hasn't looked great in his 2 starts this season. He is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA and he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start. That isn't a lot of runs to give up, but this is only his 3rd start this season so he is still a bit rusty, and the Yankees still have one of the best offenses in the MLB that has been starting to produce runs again. The Yankees are going to have Stroman on the mound here and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 7-4 with a 3.51 ERA and the team has found success with him on the mound all year. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which was against the Rays just before the All-Star break, and his team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting. Stroman is going to give the Yankees a good chance to win here with the way he has been pitching lately and the Yankees will be looking to go on a run coming out of the break since they are in a division race for 1st place. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Rays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 21, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Rays 2.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 26-55 (-39.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 81 games. 32-44 (-21.45 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 76 games. 14-8 to the under in their last 22 games. 

New York Yankees: 41-32 (+14.55 units) on the runline in their last 73 games. 40-26 (+11.80 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 66 games. 18-10 to the under with their team total in their last 28 games.

Tampa Bay Rays:  Y. Díaz (3B) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Lovelady (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Waguespack (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Poss. Suspension. J. Springs (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. S. McClanahan (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. J. Davis (RP) Ques Sat - Illness. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“Gerrit’s Cole really, good. We’ve seen him for many seasons now. It seems like he gets better when guys get on base.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Friday.

“Just a great way to come out of the All-Star break and set the tone for us where our ace goes out and gives up one run in six innings to set the tone for us. I thought he was sharp and I thought he had a lot of different ways to get you out tonight.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Friday.

R Palacios (L) 2B

I Paredes (R) 1B

B Lowe (L) DH

R Arozarena (R) LF

J Lowe (L) RF

J Siri (R) CF

B Rortvedt (L) C

J Caballero (R) 3B

T Walls (S) SS

B Rice (L) 1B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

T Grisham (L) CF

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.308)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (104)

Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (15)

RBI:  Isaac Paredes (50)

Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (24)

Wins:  Ryan Pepiot (6)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (17)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.71)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (107)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (34)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (86)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Luis Gil (10)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (10th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)