Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Seattle Mariners:  43-31 (1st place, AL West)

Cleveland Guardians:  44-25 (1st place, AL Central)

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Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-31 record overall and have a road record of 16-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .667 OPS. Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-0 with a 1.07 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Oakland Athletics.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-25 record overall and have a home record of 21-8. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 11 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 43-31 record overall which leads the AL West. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 16-19 road record though. Meanwhile, the Guardians have also looked really good in their games this season with their 44-25 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 21-8 home record. The Guardians have been cooling off lately as they just lost their last series in Toronto and are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Mariners have been getting hot though, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have the momentum from a sweep against the Rangers in their last series which was big for them in the division race. The Mariners also have the better pitching matchup here with Woo on the mound since he has been lights out this season. He is 3-0 with a 1.07 ERA and is coming off another start which he gave up no runs in. This has been a common theme for him this year as he has been pitching deep into games without giving up many runs at all. The Guardians are going to have Bibee on the mound though and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA, but he gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Mariners haven't been great on offense this year, but they have been hitting the ball a lot better lately and their bullpen has also been really good to go with their starting rotation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Guardians 1.

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Seattle Mariners: 58-75 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 16-19 (-3.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 8-9 (-2.2 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 42-28 UNDER in all games. 28-20 UNDER against right-handed starters. 27-17 UNDER in night games.

Cleveland Guardians: 44-25 (+16.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-8 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 23-10 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 60-35 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. TANNER BIBEE is 24-15 UNDER in all games and 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Woo (SP) Prob Wed - Arm. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. T. France (3B) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Polanco (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. G. Santos (SP) Mid July - Back. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  J. Ramírez (3B) Out Tues - Personal. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“That was fantastic. He was in total control of the ballgame. He had great stuff, of course, but the execution of his slider and the split-finger was electric today. That's a really tough pitch and there's no way to game plan for it.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

“It’s a tough task to get him out.” - Stephen Vogt on Steven Kwan after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Josh Rojas (L) 3B

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Mitch Haniger (R) DH

Luke Raley (L) LF

Dominic Canzone (L) RF

Tyler Locklear (R) 1B

Dylan Moore (R) 2B

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Tyler Freeman (R) CF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Will Brennan (L) RF

Kyle Manzardo (L) DH

Daniel Schneemann (L) 3B

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Bo Naylor (L) C

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (78)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (12)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (43)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (16)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (6)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (12)

ERA:  Bryan Woo (1.07)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.398)

Hits:  José Ramírez (71)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (18)

RBI:  José Ramírez (62)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (11)

Wins:  Logan Allen (7)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)