San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/20/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 20, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  SDPA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -112, Guardians -108; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

San Diego Padres:  50-49 (3rd place, NL West)

Cleveland Guardians:  58-37 (1st place, AL Central)

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San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-49 record overall and have a road record of 24-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .730 OPS. Matt Waldron is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dylan Cease is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-8 with a 3.99 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 11 Ks on 1 hit through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-37 record overall and have a home record of 30-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Friday while Gavin Williams is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 58-37 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 30-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 50-49 record overall which has them in playoff conversation, but they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and were slipping going into the All-Star break. They have been better in their road games with their 24-21 road record, but that's not going to help them against one of the best teams in the American League right now. The Guardians have a solid offense in the top half of the MLB, but they also have one of the best pitching staffs around, including their bullpen which has been great all year. They will have Williams on the mound in this one and he hasn't had too many starts this season as he missed the 1st half of the year, but he has looked a lot better lately as he gets more starts under his belt. He is 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA and he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start. The Padres will have Cease starting in this one and he is 8-8 with a 3.99 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start, but he still has 8 losses this season and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. It doesn't matter how good he has looked lately either since the Padres were ice cold going into the All-Star break, and their offense has had problems scoring runs in their games lately too. The Guardians still have the Twins chasing them down in the division so they will be looking to get off to a strong start out of the All-Star break here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Padres Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 20, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Padres 0.

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San Diego Padres: 5-2 (+4.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 7 games. 29-16 (+13.65 units) on the runline in their last 45 away games. 15-7 to the over in their last 22 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 5-11 (-6.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 16 games. 25-11 to the over with their team total in their last 36 home games. 57-38 to the over with their team total in their last 95 games.

San Diego Padres:  W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We faced some pretty good pitching. That's a good opportunity for us, and I thought our at-bats were good again.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.

“Tough ending to a tough road trip, but couldn’t be more proud of our guys for the first half. And we put ourselves in a great position to come out of the break. I couldn’t be more proud of the work that this group has done.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Sunday.

J Profar (S) LF

D Solano (R) DH

M Machado (R) 3B

X Bogaerts (R) 2B

J Cronenworth (L) 1B

H Kim (R) SS

J Merrill (L) CF

K Higashioka (R) C

B Johnson (S) RF

S Kwan (L) LF

A Martínez (S) CF

J Ramírez (S) DH

J Naylor (L) 1B

W Brennan (L) RF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

D Schneemann (L) 3B

B Naylor (L) C

B Rocchio (S) SS

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (103)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (14)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (59)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (18)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (8)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (22)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.352)

Hits:  José Ramírez (100)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)

RBI:  José Ramírez (77)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)

Wins:  Logan Allen (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (29)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)