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Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Dec 11, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, December 12, 2024
Venue:  Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA 
Where to Watch:  Gulf Coast Sports


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings -5.5, Pelicans +5.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings -5.5, Pelicans +5.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings -5.5, Pelicans +5.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  12-13 (5th place, Pacific Division)
New Orleans Pelicans:  5-20 (5th place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  4-6 last 10
New Orleans Pelicans:  1-9 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview and Analysis


The Kings are entering this game with a 12-13 record overall this season and they are 6-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the San Antonio Spurs and the Utah Jazz. Kevin Huerter led the team in points in that game with 26 while De'Aaron Fox was next on the team with 21 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 57% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 10-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.



The Pelicans are entering this game with a 5-20 record overall this season and they are 4-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs. Trey Murphy III led the team in points in that game with 25 while CJ McCollum was next on the team with 19 points. Dejounte Murray led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Yves Missi led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 43.4% from the field, 34.2% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 105 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.7 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 9-16 this season and their O/U record is 13-11-1.


Kings vs Pelicans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 12-13 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the West. They are 6-6 in their road games too, but they are starting to gain some momentum again. They have won 2 games in a row now and they have been rolling their opponent in both of those games, putting up 140 points in both. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-20 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the West with one of the worst records in the entire NBA. They have been missing key starters in their lineup, but they have also been missing a lot of bench depth too. They have lost 2 games in a row now and they have been getting crushed in a lot of their games too. They have one of the worst offenses in the NBA, averaging around 105 points scored per game, and they won't be able to keep up with the Kings on their current roll. The Kings will be looking to get back in the race in the West and this is a great game for them to beat up one of the worst teams in the NBA right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Pelicans Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, December 12, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 126 Pelicans 113.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 4-7 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 4-13 1H ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% of their attempts or less. 7-16 1H ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 59-36 UNDER in road games. 14-7 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 39-28 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

New Orleans Pelicans: 21-14 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 8-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 5-0 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest. 23-13 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 42-29 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 20-10 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  I. Jones Day To Day - Illness. T. Lyles (PF) Out - Calf. D. Carter (PG) Out - Shoulder.

New Orleans Pelicans:  J. Green (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Matkovic (PF) Day To Day - Back. D. Theis (C) Day To Day - Neck. B. Ingram (SF) Out - Ankle. J. Hawkins (SG) Out - Back. Z. Williamson (PF) Out - Hamstring. J. Alvarado (PG) Out - Hamstring.


Notable Quotes


"Real comfortable. It’s a matter of can he play at a high level [for 12 straight minutes]… he’s shown the last couple of games that he can do it. We have to be ready to throw somebody out on that floor though, to sub for him, in case his play falls off at all." - Mike Brown on Kevin Huerter’s new role on the team.


"I thought it was a huge growth moment. Maybe five minutes left in the game we're down 11, Yves (Missi) gets a layup and it sparks our run. We take the lead, but a couple of plays didn't go our way down the stretch." - Willie Green after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Malik Monk
SF DeMar DeRozan
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

New Orleans Pelicans
PG Dejounte Murray
SG CJ McCollum
SF Trey Murphy III
PF Herbert Jones
C Yves Missi

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.4)
APG: D. Sabonis (6.2)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.7)

New Orleans Pelicans
PPG: Z. Williamson (22.7)
APG: D. Murray (6.5)
Reb/G: Y. Missi (8.2)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (3rd season)
New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (4th season)