Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/11/2022

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 11, 2022

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +175, Braves -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +175, Braves -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +175, Braves -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

 

Pittsburgh Pirates:  24-31 (3rd place, NL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  31-27 (2nd place, NL East)

 

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

 

 

 

The Pirates are coming into this game with a 24-31 record overall and they are 11-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Roansy Contreras is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Zach Thompson will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 3-4 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.

 

The Braves are coming into this game with a 31-27 record overall and they are 17-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on an 8 game winning streak. They just won their 2-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Spencer Strider is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Charlie Morton will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-3 with a 5.63 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits in 5 innings played against the Colorado Rockies. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.

 

The Pirates are coming into this game as big underdogs with the current betting odds. They have not been playing great this season but they have been much improved from last season and they have already pulled off some shocking wins recently, including a series sweep of the Dodgers in Los Angeles. The Pirates have Thompson starting in this game and he has not been great this season but he has not been bad either and Morton, who is starting for the Braves here, has not been that great this season either. Morton struggled at the beginning of the season and he has been pitching much better recently but he is also coming off of an awful start in his last game and this might be the best pitching matchup the Pirates get here. The Pirates have also not been swept in a road series yet this season so they are not playing that bad in those games and the Braves are also on a long win streak that could be snapped at any moment as it approaches double digits. There is a lot of value on the Pirates here at this price. The best bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

 

Pirates Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 11, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Pirates 5 Braves 4.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 11-14 (+5.3 Units) ML in road games. 20-19 (+8.7 Units) ML against NL East opponents. 33-23 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.

Atlanta Braves: 39-29 (-14.7 Units) ML as a home favorite of -150 or more. 28-28 (-13.7 Units) ML at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 20-7 OVER as a home favorite of -175 to -250.

 

 

Pittsburgh Pirates:  Y. Tsutsugo (1B) Early July - Back. B. Gamel (LF) Late June - Hamstring. G. Allen (CF) Early July - Hamstring.

Atlanta Braves:  C. McHugh (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.

 

 

 

"I feel like I threw the ball well. I felt good. The one thing that stands out is the hit by pitch and the four-pitch walk. Can't defend walks. They put the ball in play and ended up getting those two guys across on free passes. Balls found holes. Balls fell in right in the no-man's land. D'Arnaud hit a good pitch, and I stuck to the same game plan." - JT Brubaker after their loss against the Braves on Thursday.

 

 

"It wasn't as tough a grind as some of them were, but he had to work. A few mis-hit balls, a couple of balls hit hard. He was in trouble a lot but he always seems to find a way to reach back and get out of it. Dansby turns a great double play one inning to get him out of it." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Pirates on Thursday.

 

 

 

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Bryan Reynolds (S) CF

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Michael Chavis (R) 1B

Diego Castillo (R) SS

Jack Suwinski (L) RF

Yu Chang (R) 2B

Tyler Heineman (S) C

Travis Swaggerty (L) LF

 

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Adam Duvall (R) LF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

 

 

Batting Average:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (.289)

Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (55)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (8)

RBI:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (20)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (7)

Wins:  Dillon Peters (4)

Saves:  David Bednar (10)

ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.312)

Hits:  Austin Riley (60)

Home Runs:  Austin Riley (15)

RBI:  Austin Riley (34)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (11)

Wins:  Kyle Wright (6)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  William Woods (0.00)

 

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)