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Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/21/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 20, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  76ers +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  76ers +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  76ers +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

Philadelphia 76ers:  15-26 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Denver Nuggets:  26-16 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Philadelphia 76ers:  2-8 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10


Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The 76ers are entering this game with a 15-26 record overall this season and they are 9-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game losing streak with losses coming against the New Orleans Pelicans, the Orlando Magic, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the New York Knicks, the Indiana Pacers, and the Milwaukee Bucks. Tyrese Maxey led the team in points in that game with 37 while Kelly Oubre Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Tyrese Maxey led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kelly Oubre Jr., Adem Bona, Tyrese Maxey, and Pete Nance each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 45.3% from the field, 35.6% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 107.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 13-26-2 this season and their O/U record is 20-18-3.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 26-16 record overall this season and they are 12-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic. Christian Braun and Nikola Jokić each led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 51.3% from the field, 28% from 3-point range, and 83.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 21-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-16.


76ers vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 26-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They had a really slow start to the season, but now they have been getting hot and have been climbing up the standings in the West. They have also looked good on their home court with their 12-8 home record. Meanwhile, the 76ers have looked terrible in their games this season with their 15-26 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the East. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries this season that have been keeping key players off the court, and they haven't been a good road team either with their 9-13 road record. They have looked terrible lately with their 2-8 record in their last 10 games and they have no momentum on their side with 6 losses in a row now. The Nuggets are starting to get hot now, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They are coming off a nice win over a solid Magic team in their last one and they will have no problem disposing of this banged up 76ers team at home. The Nuggets have been the hotter team lately and they can take advantage of this terrible 76ers team without their best players in the lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

76ers Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, January 21, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 122 76ers 101.
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NBA Betting Trends


Philadelphia 76ers: 15-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 27-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 28-17 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 16-9 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days. 24-15 OVER in January games.

Denver Nuggets: 9-17 ATS against Atlantic division opponents. 19-30 1H ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. 8-15 1H ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 5-2 OVER as a home underdog. 18-10 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 

Key Injuries


Philadelphia 76ers:  A. Drummond (C) Day To Day - Toe. P. George (SF) Day To Day - Groin. G. Yabusele (PF) Day To Day - Knee. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Groin. K. Lowry (PG) Day To Day - Hip. J. Embiid (C) Out - Foot. K. Martin (SF) Out - Foot. J. McCain (PG) Out For Season - Meniscus.

Denver Nuggets:  P. Watson (SG) Undefined - Head. V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“I think we’re all disappointed a little bit. I think that you feel bad for him, too. I know he’s been trying to get out there. I think he’s been playing a lot better and all that stuff. But, yeah, disappointed, I guess it is for sure for him and for all of us.” - Nick Nurse on the injury to Joel Embiid.


"We want him to be ultra-aggressive. He had a really good summer league for us. I remember meeting with him and speaking early in the regular season, saying, 'I got to get you back down to the G League so that you can play.' You can't replicate that. As you get into an NBA season, as we all know, the amount of practice time is minimal; the amount of time you're actually doing live things in practice is minimal." - Michael Malone on Trey Alexander.


Starting Lineups


Philadelphia 76ers
PG Tyrese Maxey
SG Kelly Oubre Jr.
SF Paul George 
PF Guerschon Yabusele 
C Andre Drummond

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: T. Maxey (26.4)
APG: T. Maxey (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (7.9)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokić (30.1)
APG: N. Jokić (9.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.2)

Coaches:
Philadelphia 76ers: Nick Nurse (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)