Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/18/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, October 18, 2024

Venue:  Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -27, Purdue +27; Over/Under:  59 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -27, Purdue +27; Over/Under:  58.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -27.5, Purdue +27.5; Over/Under:  58.5 points

Oregon Ducks:  6-0 (3-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  1-5 (0-3) (17th place, Big Ten)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at home against the Ohio State Buckeyes 32-31.

Purdue Boilermakers:  lost their last game on the road against the Illinois Fighting Illini 50-49 in overtime.

Oregon is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Ohio State 32-31. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 341 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 1 TD. Evan Stewart led the receivers with 149 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Brandon Johnson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Matayo Uiagalelei led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Purdue is entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Illinois 50-49 in OT. Ryan Browne was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 297 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ryan Browne led the team in rushing yards with 118. Max Klare led the receivers with 133 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kydran Jenkins led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kydran Jenkins and Will Heldt each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 27 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall and their 0-3 conference record which has them near the bottom of the Big Ten. They have been getting blown out in a ton of their games this year, but they did make some changes recently and it paid off since they looked a lot better in their loss to Illinois last week. Meanwhile, Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They are also coming off a huge win against Ohio State in their last one, now being ranked as the 2nd best team in the nation. This is going to be a tough situation for them though, playing on a shorter week off that huge win and they have to travel across a few time zones for this game too. This is a bit of a let down spot for Oregon on the road and Purdue gave Illinois a really good fight in their last one, they will be desperate to make something happen at home against one of the best teams in the country. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 18, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 35 Purdue 20.

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Oregon Ducks: 19-10 ATS as a favorite. 8-2 ATS as a road favorite. 11-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 5-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 5-0 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 yards/game or more. 3-0 UNDER vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season.

Purdue Boilermakers: 11-21 ATS in all lined games. 7-14 ATS as an underdog. 4-12 ATS in home lined games. 0-5 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 5-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 7-3 1H UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-2 1H UNDER off a road loss.

Oregon Ducks:  A. Pugliano (TE) Out - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Out - Undisclosed. K. Terrell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Out - Undisclosed. A. Boyle (K) Out - Undisclosed. D. Iuli (OL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Fields (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Out - Undisclosed.

Purdue Boilermakers:  D. Carlson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. G. Burhenn (TE) Out - Undisclosed. O. Davis (LB) Out - Undisclosed. W. Berglund (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Strickland (DL) Out - Undisclosed. C. Smith (WR) Out - Hamstring. S. Bradford (DB) Out - Undisclosed. N. Green (DB) Out - Foot. J. Bouldin (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

"Every time I went and looked at his eyes tonight I saw a guy who was composed and ready for his next moment. He played really really well tonight in some really big moments.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s win against OSU in their last game. 

“We were in control of the game at that point. We clawed back in the game, something we hadn’t done this season, and I wanted to give us a chance to win. I hate losing.” - Ryan Walters on the 2 point conversion attempt after his team’s loss against Illinois in their last game.

WR Holden, Traeshon

WR Stewart, Evan

WR Johnson, Tez

TE Ferguson, Terrance

QB Gabriel, Dillon

RB James, Jordan

WR Rigby, Shamar

WR Edrine, Jahmal 

WR Tibbs, Jaron

TE Klare, Max 

QB Card, Hudson 

RB Mockobee, Devin

Passing: D. Gabriel (1790)

Rushing: J. James (667)

Receiving: T. Johnson (470)

Touchdowns: J. James (6)

Passing: H. Card (738)

Rushing: D. Mockobee (464)

Receiving: M. Klare (352)

Touchdowns: D. Mockobee (3)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (2nd season)