Oregon Ducks vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/02/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024

Venue:  Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14.5, Michigan +14.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14.5, Michigan +14.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oregon -14.5, Michigan +14.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Oregon Ducks:  8-0 (5-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Michigan Wolverines:  5-3 (3-2) (9th place, Big Ten)

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Oregon Ducks:  won their last game at home against the Illinois Fighting Illini 38-9.

Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the Michigan State Spartans 24-17.

Oregon is entering this game with an 8-0 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Illinois 38-9. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 291 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordan James led the team in rushing yards with 83. Tez Johnson led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Tysheem Johnson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Bryce Boettcher and Teitum Tuioti each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tysheem Johnson and Sione Laulea each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Michigan is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Michigan State 24-17. Davis Warren was the starting QB and he completed 13/19 passes for 123 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Alex Orji led the team in rushing yards with 64 and 1 TD. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Jaishawn Barham led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Cameron Brandt, Derrick Moore, and Josaiah Stewart each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten and ranked as the best team in the nation too. They are coming off a big win over Illinois in their last one and they have been blowing out a ton of teams this season. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but they are only 3-2 in their conference games which has them in the middle of the Big Ten. They are having a down year after losing a lot of their players and coaching staff to the NFL after winning the National Championship last season, and they have been struggling to get themselves back on top. The defense has looked good in their games, but the offense has been a big issue as they don't have a solid QB and have been rotating between the few they have. Oregon is going to be one of the best defenses they face this season so even being at home in this one, Michigan is going to struggle to put up points. Their defense has been good, but they don't have the defense they had last season when they won the Big Ten and Oregon has one of the best offenses in the nation so putting up points isn't going to be much of a problem for them. Michigan's defense will only do so much to slow down Oregon's offense in this game, but eventually Oregon will be able to pull away and put this game out of reach. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Oregon Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oregon 35 Michigan 13.

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Oregon Ducks: 2-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 4-1 UNDER off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 9-5 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-1 1H UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Michigan Wolverines: 9-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 8-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 7-3 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less. 13-6 UNDER in home lined games. 6-3 1H UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Oregon Ducks:  K. Terrell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bedford (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Bryant (WR) Questionable - Leg. J. Burch (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Florence (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Gardner (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Iuli (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kasper (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Ferguson (TE) Questionable - Appendix.

Michigan Wolverines:  A. Gentry (OL) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Walker (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Pollard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Marshall (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. J. Mangham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Johnson (DB) Questionable - Lower Body. B. Kuzdzal (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Benny (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. McBurrows (DB) Out - Undisclosed. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.

“Each week is important within itself. I think you've got to live that life of being present. It's very easy to say and hard to do.” - Dillon Gabriel after their win against Illinois in their last game. 

“It was huge for our kids to get the victory.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s win against MSU in their last game. 

WR Lowe, Justius

WR Stewart, Evan

WR Johnson, Tez

TE Herbert, Patrick 

QB Gabriel, Dillon

RB James, Jordan

WR Bell, Kendrick

WR Morris, Tyler 

WR Morgan, Semaj 

TE Loveland, Colston 

QB Warren, Davis 

RB Edwards, Donovan

Passing: D. Gabriel (2371)

Rushing: J. James (800)

Receiving: T. Johnson (638)

Touchdowns: J. James (8)

Passing: D. Warren (567)

Rushing: K. Mullings (694)

Receiving: C. Loveland (411)

Touchdowns: K. Mullings (7)

Coaches:

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (3rd season)

Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)