Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, March 14, 2025
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: Big Ten Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Oregon +5.5, MSU -5.5; Over/Under: 143.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Oregon +5.5, MSU -5.5; Over/Under: 143.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Oregon +5.5, MSU -5.5; Over/Under: 143.5 points
Season Record
Oregon Ducks: 23-8 (12-8) (8th place, Big Ten)
Michigan State Spartans: 26-5 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)
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Oregon Ducks: 5-0 last 5
Michigan State Spartans: 5-0 last 5
Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans Preview and Analysis
Oregon is entering this game with a 24-8 record overall, a 12-8 record in conference games, and they are 5-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Jackson Shelstad led the team in points in that game with 18 while TJ Bamba was next on the team with 17. Nate Bittle led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Nate Bittle led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 49.1% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Oregon has an ATS record of 15-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-16.
Michigan State is entering this game with a 26-5 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Michigan Wolverines in their last game. Tre Holloman led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jase Richardson was next on the team with 18. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Carson Cooper led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 44.6% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 21-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-21.
Oregon vs Michigan State Prediction
The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State has looked great in their games this season with their 26-5 record overall and their 17-3 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They won the Big Ten Title for the regular season and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season. Meanwhile, Oregon has looked really good in their games this season with their 24-8 record overall and their 12-8 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They are also 5-0 in their neutral site games this season. Both of these teams have been rolling lately, Michigan State winning 7 games in a row now while Oregon has won 8 games in a row, but Michigan State does have the advantage in this one. Oregon already played their first game of this Big Ten Tournament and beat Indiana by double digits, but they did struggle at times in that game. They are also playing this game on a back-to-back and won't have the rest advantage that Michigan State has since this is their first game in the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan State has nothing to prove in this tournament as they won the regular season, but they will be looking to stay hot and carry this momentum into the NCAA Tournament. They also beat Oregon by double digits earlier this season, and this game will be no different. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game.
Oregon Michigan State Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 14, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan State 75 Oregon 64.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Oregon Ducks: 5-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 3-7 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts or less. 19-26 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 13-6 OVER in all tournament games.
Michigan State Spartans: 7-3 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick. 24-15 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 39-26 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less. 8-4 OVER at home after 3 or more consecutive wins.
Key Injuries
Oregon Ducks: D. Lindsay (F) Out - Shoulder.
Michigan State Spartans: C. Walton (F) Out - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
"I don't know why. I'm not retiring. If the school, Rob Mullens, and the President decide it's my time, it's my time. Guys, I love coming to work every day. So as long as I am healthy, I'd like to coach. But I said, maybe they know something I don't." - Dana Altman on the rumors of him retiring.
“It has been strength in numbers. We had to do something different than most. I didn't do it my way – we all know I've had more talent and haven't played as many at times, although we've always played quite a few. I hope nobody leaves here saying he did it ‘My Way’ like Frank Sinatra. I hope they say he did it the way championships are won and championships are done.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Michigan in their regular season finale.
Starting Lineups
Oregon Ducks
B. Angel
T. Bamba
N. Bittle
J. Shelstad
J. Tracey
Michigan State Spartans
J. Akins
J. Fears
T. Holloman
J. Kohler
S. Zapala
Statistical Leaders
Oregon Ducks
PPG: N. Bittle (14.1)
APG: T. Bamba (2.9)
Reb/G: N. Bittle (7.3)
Michigan State Spartans
PPG: J. Akins (12.9)
APG: J. Fears (5.5)
Reb/G: J. Kohler (7.8)
Coaches:
Oregon Ducks: Dana Altman (15th season)
Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (30th season)