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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/18/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 14, 2024
Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, October 18, 2024
Venue:  LaVell Edwards Stadium (LES), Provo, UT
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OK State +9, BYU -9; Over/Under:  55.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  OK State +9, BYU -9; Over/Under:  55.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OK State +8.5, BYU -8.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  3-3 (0-3) (14th place, Big 12)
BYU Cougars:  6-0 (3-0) (1st place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma State Cowboys:  lost their last game at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers 38-14.
BYU Cougars:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Wildcats 41-19.


Oklahoma State Cowboys vs BYU Cougars Preview and Analysis


Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against West Virginia 38-14. Alan Bowman was the starting QB and he completed 10/19 passes for 116 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions before getting replaced by Garret Rangel who completed 4/5 passes for 75 yards and 1 TD. Ollie Gordon II led the team in rushing yards with 50. Da'Wain Lofton led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jeff Roberson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Jeff Roberson and Kendal Daniels each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
BYU is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arizona 41-19. Jake Retzlaff was the starting QB and he completed 18/32 passes for 218 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Hinckley Ropati led the team in rushing yards with 65. Darius Lassiter led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Harrison Taggart led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Isaiah Glasker led the defense in sacks with 1. Isaiah Glasker, Jakob Robinson, and Tanner Wall each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Oklahoma State vs BYU Prediction

The current betting odds have BYU listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BYU has looked great in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They are coming off another big win in their last one, blowing Arizona out 41-19, and they will be looking to do the same against a team that has been struggling a lot in the conference. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall and their 0-3 conference record. They were ranked coming into the season and now they are one of the worst teams in the Big 12 at the moment. They are coming out of their bye week, but their defense has been a big issue for them all season with the points they have been giving up. They were embarrassed by West Virginia at home in their last game and they didn't stand a chance against Kansas State in their last road game either. This isn't going to be an easier game for them either, BYU being undefeated and playing with a really strong home advantage. BYU also has the better defense by far so this is going to be a game where Oklahoma State is trailing and they will struggle to come back like they have in their other games. The best way to place a bet here is on BYU to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma State BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, October 18, 2024 (10:15 pm ET start time) is BYU 38 OK State 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Oklahoma State Cowboys: 7-2 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-2 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 5-2 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 10-3 1H OVER as an underdog. 13-7 1H OVER against conference opponents. 10-2 1H OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 

BYU Cougars: 3-6 ATS as a home favorite. 3-6 ATS off a home win. 1-5 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-4 OVER as a favorite. 8-3 OVER after playing a game at home. 11-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Key Injuries


Oklahoma State Cowboys:  J. Springfield (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Oliver (LB) Out - Foot. J. Wright (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Green (RB) Out - Leg.

BYU Cougars:  H. Ropati (RB) Out - Undisclosed. L. Martin (RB) Out - Ankle. J. Brown (OL) Out - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“It looked like to me that we had our worst tackling day of the year. Like, in my mind, I was counting up to eight tackles where we had a chance to hit and get a guy down for a two-yard gain or less, and we bounced off and they ended up being big runs. I think that was a little bit of an issue. We did not tackle well in this game at all.” - Mike Gundy after his team’s loss against WVU in their last game. 


“I just liked the play selection. I liked the momentum we were getting and I just liked the toughness from the team.” - Kalani Sitake after his team’s win against Arizona in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Owens, Rashod 
WR Stribling, De'Zhaun 
WR Presley, Brennan 
TE Ford, Josh
QB Bowman, Alan 
RB Gordon II, Ollie 
FB Schultz, Jake

BYU Cougars
WR Marion, Keelan 
WR Roberts, Chase
WR Epps, Kody 
TE Hill, Keanu 
QB Retzlaff, Jake
RB Martin, LJ 

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: A. Bowman (1653)
Rushing: O. Gordon (384)
Receiving: D. Stribling (556)
Touchdowns: B. Presley (5)

BYU Cougars
Passing: J. Retzlaff (1426)
Rushing: J. Retzlaff (184)
Receiving: C. Roberts (397)
Touchdowns: L. Martin (4)

Coaches:
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (20th season)
BYU Cougars: Kalani Sitake (9th season)