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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jun 17, 2022
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, June 18, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

New York Yankees:  47-16 (1st place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  37-26 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
New York Yankees:  9-1 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

New York Yankees Analysis

The Yankees are coming into this game with a 47-16 record overall and they are 18-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 14 of their last 15 games and are coming into this one on a 7 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Jordan Montgomery is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 7-1 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won 10 of their last 11 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits in 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging just under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging just over 1 run allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 37-26 record overall and they are 20-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just split their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-2 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Ross Stripling is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Alek Manoah will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 8-1 with a 1.67 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 1 hit in 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles. They scored 25 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 23 runs against them averaging just under 6 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently as they just split a series at home against the Orioles in their last series but this is a team they will get up for at home as the Yankees have the best record in the MLB right now. The Yankees have been playing very well as they rarely lose games recently and when they do they never really lose 2 straight but they just struggled against the Rays in their last series. They won all 3 games against the Rays but they really struggled to score runs in that whole series because the Rays have some very good pitching to back them up and the Yankees will likely run into that same problem here. The Blue Jays have had some bad pitching days this season but they have Manoah on the mound here and he has been their best pitcher this season, with not a single bad start and he has been dominating that same way since he came into the MLB last season. Taillon is starting for the Yankees here and he has been good this season but not as good as Manoah has been and he is just a different breed with the way he has been pitching. Manoah will give the Yankees trouble here as they have already been cooling off a little and the Jays will score their runs here as this is a team they will get up for and try to win every game against with full effort in every game. The best bet here is on the Blue Jays to stunt this Yankees team and win this game.
 
Yankees Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 18, 2022 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
New York Yankees: 47-16 (+21.2 Units) ML in all games. 21-7 (+9.9 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-16 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Toronto Blue Jays: 111-73 (-10.5 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 47-43 (-5.3 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 69-44 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
New York Yankees:  J. Loaisiga (RP) Late June - Shoulder. D. German (SP) Late June - Shoulder. A. Chapman (RP) Late June - Achilles.
Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Merryweather (RP) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. H. Ryu (SP) out for season - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Just a great at-bat by Anthony there. Getting into a good count and leaving some pitches that he should and then getting into one." - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rays on Thursday.
 
 
"He wasn't commanding all his pitches. They did a good job laying off his splitter and slider. It seemed like they were hunting for the fastball and they got him." - Charlie Montoyo after his team’s loss against the Orioles on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
Aaron Hicks (S) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Jose Trevino (R) C
Joey Gallo (L) RF
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Santiago Espinal (R) 3B
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Raimel Tapia (L) CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.333)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (72)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (25)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (49)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (9)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (7)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (11)
ERA:  JP Sears (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Gabriel Moreno (.333)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (69)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (16)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (39)
Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (4)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (8)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (16)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)