New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/09/2024

Game Time: 7:08 pm ET, Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  MAX, TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -115, Royals -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -115, Royals -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -115, Royals -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

New York Yankees:  94-68 (1st place, AL East)

Kansas City Royals:  86-76 (2nd place, AL Central)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Kansas City Royals:  7-3 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their final series of the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 94-68 record overall and had a road record of 50-31. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Royals on Wednesday for the ALDS. The Yankees won the series opener on Saturday and lost the 2nd game on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .762 OPS. Carlos Rodón was their starting pitcher on Monday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Royals are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep 2-0 in their best 2 out of 3 game series against the Baltimore Orioles in the Wild Card Round. They finished the regular season with an 86-76 record overall and had a home record of 45-36. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Yankees on Wednesday for the American League Division Series. The Royals lost the 1st game on Saturday and won the 2nd game on Monday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Cole Ragans was their starting pitcher on Monday while Seth Lugo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA this season. His team won their only playoff game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 4.1 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees finished the regular season with a 94-68 record overall which won them the AL East, and they were also 50-31 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Royals finished the regular season with an 86-76 record overall which got them into the playoffs through the Wild Card, and they were also 45-36 in their home games this season. They knocked the Orioles out of the playoffs by winning both road games in the Wild Card Round and their pitching was good in that series. They only gave up 1 run in their 2 games, but their offense struggled a lot in that series. Offense hasn't been an issue in this series though, and now the Royals are coming back home with the series tied and a chance to take the lead where they have played much better all season. Lugo is on the mound for them and he has been a stud all season. He is 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA and he has looked really good lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team won the game. That game was also in the playoffs against the Orioles in their last series so he has a great playoff start under his belt already. Schmidt is on the mound for the Yankees here and he is 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA. He has looked great in his starts this season, but he hasn't been pitching as well lately. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start as he has been giving up more runs lately and his team even lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in. The Royals have been better at home all year and they do have the better pitching matchup here with the way each has been pitching lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game. 

Yankees Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, October 9, 2024 (7:08 pm ET start time) is Royals 4 Yankees 2.

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New York Yankees: 94-68 (-8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 73-58 (-21.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 63-53 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 39-25 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150. 22-9 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 44-22 OVER after a loss.

Kansas City Royals: 88-77 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-34 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 71-56 (+15.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 8-4 OVER at home vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. 7-4 OVER at home vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 9-5 OVER at home vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season.

New York Yankees:  L. Trivino (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Rizzo (1B) Questionable - Finger. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Undefined - Elbow. D. LeMahieu (2B) Ten Day IL - Hip. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Kansas City Royals:  J. Taylor (RP) Sixty Day IL - Bicep. H. Harvey (RP) Out - Back. J. McArthur (SP) Undefined - Hand. C. Stratton (RP) Undefined - Forearm. W. Smith (RP) Undefined - Back. K. Wright (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“He falls behind him, and from there started making some mistakes with his secondary (pitches) just in the heart of the plate." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Royals in game 2 of this series on Monday.

“It’s basically like a brand-new series when we get to the K.” - Cole Ragans after their win against the Yankees in game 2 of this series on Monday.

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Juan Soto (L) RF

Aaron Judge (R) CF

Austin Wells (L) C

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Jon Berti (R) 1B

Maikel Garcia (R) 3B

Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS

Vinnie Pasquantino (L) DH

Salvador Perez (R) C

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Michael Massey (L) 2B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Hunter Renfroe (R) RF

Garrett Hampson (R) CF

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (180)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (58)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (144)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (28)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (16)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (30)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Bobby Witt (.332)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (211)

Home Runs:  Bobby Witt (32)

RBI:  Bobby Witt (109)

Stolen Bases:  Maikel Garcia (37)

Wins:  Seth Lugo (16)

Saves:  James McArthur (18)

ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)