New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -112, Red Sox -108; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

New York Yankees:  60-44 (2nd place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  54-47 (3rd place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the New York Mets 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-44 record overall and have a road record of 33-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-47 record overall and have a home record of 24-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-8 with a 3.37 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 5 homers, and 0 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 54-47 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked worse in their home games this year with their 24-25 home record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 60-44 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, but they have looked terrible in their games lately and now have the Red Sox right on their tail in the division. The Yankees are going to be motivated to get back on track now and they have struggled with the Red Sox this season so they are going to bring their best effort for their division rival. The Yankees do have the more favorable pitching matchup in this one with Stroman on the mound here. Stroman is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in, but they are due for a bounce back here since the Red Sox don't have a solid starter going in this one. Crawford is on the mound for the Red Sox and he is 6-8 with a 3.37 ERA. He hasn't been giving up a ton of runs all year, but lately he has been giving up more runs and he does have a lot of losses this season with 8. The team has been finding success lately, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in, but he also gave up 6 earned runs in his last start which will get him into trouble here against one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Yankees need to bounce back desperately and this is a good pitching matchup for them to do so, especially since the Red Sox have been worse at home this year while the Yankees have been a better road team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Red Sox 6.

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New York Yankees: 11-24 (-23.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 35 games. 11-24 (-21.70 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 35 games. 32-16 to the over in their last 48 games. 

Boston Red Sox: 22-13 (+7.10 units) on the moneyline in their last 35 games. 16-7 (+7.75 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 23 home games. 23-12 to the over with their team total in their last 35 games. 

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

“We’re getting our teeth kicked in. Sorry for using the s word.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

“I’m just glad we got a deal done and everybody can concentrate on what really matters.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.

G Torres (R) 2B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) CF

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

A Verdugo (L) LF

J Davis (R) DH

D LeMahieu (R) 1B

O Cabrera (S) 3B

J Duran (L) LF

D Hamilton (L) SS

W Abreu (L) RF

R Devers (L) DH

Do Smith (L) 1B

R Gonzalez (R) 3B

R McGuire (L) C

J Westbrook (R) 2B

C Rafaela (R) CF

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Juan Soto (114)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (35)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (89)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (17)

Wins:  Luis Gil (10)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rob Refsnyder (.301)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (124)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (23)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (63)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (25)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (10)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (19)

ERA:  Garrett Whitlock (1.96)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)