New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 26, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -125, Red Sox +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

New York Yankees:  60-44 (2nd place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  54-47 (3rd place, AL East)

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New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the New York Mets 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-44 record overall and have a road record of 33-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Gerrit Cole was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Nestor Cortes is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HR, and 2 BB with 1 K on 8 hits through 4.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-47 record overall and have a home record of 24-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Nick Pivetta was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-5 with a 5.27 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 54-47 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked worse in their home games this year with their 24-25 home record, but they will be looking to bounce back from their bad series against the Rockies. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 60-44 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, but they have looked terrible in their games lately and now have the Red Sox right on their tail in the division. The Yankees also lost their last series to the Mets and they have been struggling going back before the All-Star break. They have Cortes on the mound in this one but he hasn't looked that good this season. He is 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA and has been giving up a lot of runs lately. He gave up 6 earned runs in his last start against a weak Rays offense and his team has had no success with him lately, losing 5 games in a row with him starting. The Red Sox are coming off a terrible series where their pitching was really bad, but their offense was putting up runs and they are going to be looking to bounce back at home now. They have Bello on the mound here and he has been one of their best starters in the rotation this season. He is 10-5 with a 5.27 ERA but he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has had a ton of success with him on the mound this year, winning 3 of their last 4 games with him starting as he also leads the starting rotation in wins with 10. The Red Sox have a real chance to beat up on the struggling Yankees in this one and close the gap in the AL East. The Red Sox will bring their best effort for Bello in this one and this is a good pitching matchup for them to bounce back with. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Yankees Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 26, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Yankees 4.

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New York Yankees: 11-23 (-22.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 34 games. 11-23 (-20.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 34 games. 31-16 to the over in their last 47 games. 

Boston Red Sox: 21-13 (+6.10 units) on the moneyline in their last 34 games. 15-7 (+6.75 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 22 home games. 22-12 to the over with their team total in their last 34 games. 

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

“We’re getting our teeth kicked in. Sorry for using the s word.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

“I’m just glad we got a deal done and everybody can concentrate on what really matters.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.

G Torres (R) 2B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) CF

A Wells (L) C

A Volpe (R) SS

A Verdugo (L) LF

J Davis (R) DH

D LeMahieu (R) 1B

O Cabrera (S) 3B

J Duran (L) LF

D Hamilton (L) SS

W Abreu (L) RF

R Devers (L) DH

Do Smith (L) 1B

R Gonzalez (R) 3B

R McGuire (L) C

J Westbrook (R) 2B

C Rafaela (R) CF

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Juan Soto (114)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (35)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (89)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (17)

Wins:  Luis Gil (10)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rob Refsnyder (.301)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (124)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (23)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (61)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (25)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (10)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (19)

ERA:  Garrett Whitlock (1.96)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)