Game Time: Midnight ET, Saturday, October 23rd, 2021

Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Hawaii

Where to Watch: No TV.  Live streams if you can find it.

 

This is an East Coast midnight game because it kicks off in Hawaii.  So, if you are sitting in a New Jersey bar and need an easy win to wipe away the day’s losses… You still have time to pull down easy money!  New Mexico State is a chronically losing team who will find themselves thousands of miles away from Aggie Memorial Stadium in real college football action… plus they will be trying to fend off the inevitable jet lag that grants Hawaii Football 3 wins a season.  Let’s check the numbers.

 

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Hawaii -17.5; Over/Under:  62 points

Circa:  Spread: Hawaii -18; Over/Under:  62 points

VegasInsider:  Spread:  Hawaii -18; Over/Under: 62 points

 

NM State: 0-0 conf, 1-6 overall (FBS Independents)

Hawaii: 1-2 conf, 3-4 overall (Mountain West)

 

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RECENT FORM

New Mexico State is ranked 90th in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 19 touchdowns on 357.3 yards per game.

Hawaii is ranked 57th in the FBS on offense.  They have scored 22 TDs on 414 ypg.  They rely on Chevan Cordeiro’s arm heavily… he may miss this game.

New Mexico State is ranked 120th in the FBS on defense.  They have given up 33 touchdowns on 460.6 yards per game.

Hawaii is ranked 109th in the FBS on defense.  They have given up 28 TDs on 443 ypg.

Our prediction for Saturday, October 23rd is…  Hawaii 35 - New Mexico State 23

NMS and the Under…  Hawaii will win but they will be missing their running back and may be missing their quarterback.  They won’t cover 17 if both those things happen.  NMS has covered lower spreads all season long.

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New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS against Mountain West opponents this season.

New Mexico State is 5-2 ATS in non-conference opponents this season.

New Mexico State is 2-5 ATs as an underdog of 10.5 - 21 PTS over the last 3 seasons.

NMS:  WR Robert Downs III (shoulder) Quest * WR Dominic Gicinto (arm) Out

Hawaii: RB Dae Dae Hunter (undisclosed) Out * QB Chevan Cordeiro Quest

Aggies:  QB Jonah Johnson, RB O’Maury Samuels, TE Thomaz Whitford, WR Jared Wyatt, WR Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda, WR Cole Harrity, LT Sage Doxtater, LG Gabriel Preciado, OC Eli Johnson, RG Carson Pharris, RT Stephen Townsend

Rainbow Warriors: QB Chevan Cordeiro, RB Dae Dae Hunter, WR/RB Calvin Turner Jr, WR Nick Mardner, WR Jared Smart, LT Ilm Manning, LG Micah Vanterpool, OC Kohl Levao, RG Eliki Tanuvasa, RT Gene Pryor, TE Caleb Phillips

Statistical Leaders

Aggies:

Passing Yards: Jonah Johnson 1,449

Rushing Yards: Juwaun Price 292

Receiving Yards: I. Garcia-Castaneda

Tackles: Trevor Brohard 40

Interceptions:  Calen Mills 2

Rainbow Warriors:

Passing Yards: Chevan Cordeiro 1,410

Rushing Yards: Dae Dae Hunter 558

Receiving Yards: Nick Mardner 502

Tackles: Khoury Bethley 50

Interceptions: Hugh Nelson II 2

New Mexico State:  Doug Martin.  Doug returned to New Mexico State as Head Coach in 2013, he had previously been their offensive coordinator.  He has a 24-70 record at New Mexico State and a 53-123 record in college football as a head coach.  His best season at NMS was 6-6 with a minor bowl game win.  He supplies a whole new meaning to job security.  This is a program that doesn’t sell tickets at home or on the road… so who cares what happens in the football schedule?

Hawaii: Todd Graham.  Todd is in his second season as head coach.  He lives in Hawaii and makes $800,000 a year.  Never leave this job ever. Wow!  It’s a beautiful life!  Say hi to Don Nelson and Willie Nelson (they aren’t related, maybe bud brothers).

Mostly Sunny.  85*, Humidity 57%.  Wind 18 mph.