New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/24/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 24, 2024

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Patriots +7, Dolphins -7; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Patriots +7, Dolphins -7; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Patriots +7, Dolphins -7; Over/Under:  46 points

New England Patriots:  3-8 (4th place, AFC East)

Miami Dolphins:  4-6 (2nd place, AFC East)

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New England Patriots:  lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 28-22.

Miami Dolphins:  won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19.

The Patriots are entering this game with a 3-8 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 28-22. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 30/40 passes for 282 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 73. Kendrick Bourne led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Marcus Jones led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 28/36 passes for 288 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Jonnu Smith led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Zach Sieler, Calais Campbell, and Emmanuel Ogbah each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jalen Ramsey came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-6 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC East but still way out of the division race with the Bills pulling away. They still have a chance to make a Wild Card spot, but they have a lot of work to do. Their season got derailed due to an injury to their starting QB, but Tua is back now and the offense has looked a lot better with him leading. They lost their first 2 games when he came back, but they were much closer games as they improved a lot, and now they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-8 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East and pretty much out of the playoff race. They have looked a lot better on offense since starting rookie QB Drake Maye, but their defense has still been giving up a lot of points this season. The Dolphins already beat the Patriots when Tua was out injured, now he is healthy and this will be a really different game where the Dolphins don't struggle to move the ball. The Patriots don't have the weapons on offense to keep up with the Dolphins and the Dolphins have looked better on defense in their last 2 games too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Patriots Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 24, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 28 Patriots 17.

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New England Patriots: 16-26 ATS in all games. 10-20 ATS as an underdog. 3-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-9 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 9-4 UNDER after a loss by 6 or less points. 18-9 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-2 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 

Miami Dolphins: 9-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-5 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 12-4 ATS versus division opponents. 8-3 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 14-8 UNDER in home games. 9-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 

New England Patriots:  C. Barmore (DT) Questionable - Non-Injury. H. Henry (TE) Injured - Foot. D. Wise (DE) Questionable - Foot. M. Dial (DB) Injured - Concussion. C. Elliss (LB) Questionable - Abdomen. A. Austin (CB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Roy (DT) Questionable - Neck. D. Ekuale (DT) Questionable - Abdomen. M. Mapu (SAF) Questionable - Neck. S. Takitaki (LB) Questionable - Knee.K. Dugger (SAF) Questionable - Ankle. V. Lowe (T) Questionable - Shoulder. T. Thornton (WR) Injured - Non-Injury. I. Bolden (CB) Injured - Non-Injury.

Miami Dolphins:  J. Ramsey (CB) Injured - Knee. O. Beckham (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Stoll (TE) Injured - Non-injury. K. Fuller (CB) Out - Concussion. I. Wynn (OL) Questionable - Quad. T. Hill (WR) Injured - Wrist. P. McMorris (SAF) Questionable - Calf. R. Jones (OL) Questionable - Knee. K. Kohou (CB) Injured - Knee. T. Armstead (T) Questionable - Knee. T. Bowser (OLB) Injured - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Questionable - Calf. J. Hill (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Holland (SAF) Injured - Hand. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - Rest. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest.

“We have enough talent in our locker room to be a very good football team, we’ve just got to be able to put it together. We’ll grow into being able to finish and close out these games.” - Jerod Mayo after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game. 

“I don’t know about you guys but winning feels a lot better than losing. So I think we’re going to keep trying to do that.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game. 

WR Bourne, Kendrick

WR Boutte, Kayshon

WR Douglas, DeMario 

TE Henry, Hunter 

QB Maye, Drake

RB Stevenson, Rhamondre 

WR Waddle, Jaylen  

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Washington, Malik 

TE Smith, Jonnu

QB Tagovailoa, Tua

RB Achane, De'Von

FB Ingold, Alec

Passing: D. Maye (1236)

Rushing: R. Stevenson (585)

Receiving: H. Henry (491)

Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (7)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1443)

Rushing: D. Achane (530)

Receiving: T. Hill (523)

Touchdowns: D. Achane (6)

Coaches:

New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)