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Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/23/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 20, 2024
Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024
Venue:  Davis Wade Stadium, Mississippi State, MS
Where to Watch:  SEC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -7.5, MS State +7.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -7.5, MS State +7.5; Over/Under:  57 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mizzou -7.5, MS State +7.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Season Record

Missouri Tigers:  7-3 (3-3) (8th place, SEC)
Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-8 (0-6) (16th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Missouri Tigers:  lost their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 34-30.
Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Volunteers 33-14.


Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview and Analysis


Missouri is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against South Carolina 34-30. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 237 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Nate Noel led the team in rushing yards with 150 and 1 TD. Theo Wease Jr. led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Corey Flagg Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Johnny Walker Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Dreyden Norwood came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Mississippi State is entering this game with a 2-8 record overall and they have a 0-6 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Tennessee 33-14. Michael Van Buren Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 10/26 passes for 92 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Davon Booth led the team in rushing yards with 125 and 1 TD. Kevin Coleman Jr. led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Isaac Smith led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 11 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 7-3 record overall, but their 3-3 conference record has them lower in the SEC and out of the playoff race with 3 losses. They haven't looked good in their road games either with their 1-3 road record, but they did look a lot better in their loss last week as they lost 34-30 to South Carolina on the road and put up 30 points on that defense that has looked really good lately. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-8 record overall and their 0-6 conference record which has them at the bottom of the SEC with the worst record in the conference. They have struggled a lot against SEC opponents this year, but they have also struggled in their non-conference games too. They haven't looked any better in their home games with their 2-4 home record and they are coming off another bad loss in their last one, losing 33-14 to Tennessee. Their defense has been giving up a ton of points and this Missouri team definitely has an offense that can put up a ton of points as they do have a lot of talent in their offense and looked great last week against a much better South Carolina defense. Mizzou will be looking to finish the season strong and after going through a rough stretch lately, this will be a nice get right game for them. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Missouri Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Missouri 34 MS State 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Missouri Tigers: 22-14 ATS in all lined games. 9-4 ATS in road lined games. 7-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 8-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-3 OVER in November games. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 1-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 1-6 ATS as a home underdog. 4-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 17-4 OVER in home lined games. 6-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 12-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 

Key Injuries


Missouri Tigers:  M. Cooper (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Tollison (OL) Out - Knee. J. Moore (DE) Out - Undisclosed. K. Jacobs (LB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Horn (QB) Out - Elbow. D. Smith (DE) Out - Knee.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  C. Boone (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Wright (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Whittemore (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lee (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Hudson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dinkins (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Bingley-Jones (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Davis (RB) Out - Knee. B. Shapen (QB) Out - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“I just think there's a relentlessness that our team plays with, believes in. Just didn't have enough tonight.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game. 


“We were off. Did not do a great job at pitching and catching.” - Jeff Lebby after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Missouri Tigers
WR Wease Jr., Theo 
WR Manning, Joshua 
WR Burden III, Luther 
TE Norfleet, Brett 
QB Cook, Brady
RB Carroll, Marcus

Mississippi State Bulldogs
WR Mosley, Jordan
WR Hudson, Trent
WR Coleman, Kevin
TE Traore, Seydou
QB Shapen, Blake
RB Lee, Keyvone 

Statistical Leaders


Missouri Tigers
Passing: B. Cook (1812)
Rushing: N. Noel (684)
Receiving: T. Wease (637)
Touchdowns: L. Burden (7)

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Passing: M. Van Buren (1415)
Rushing: D. Booth (597)
Receiving: K. Coleman (756)
Touchdowns: D. Booth (8)

Coaches:
Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (5th season)
Mississippi State Bulldogs: Jeff Lebby (1st season)