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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Dec 05, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, December 6, 2024
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  11-10 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  12-8 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Timberwolves are entering this game with an 11-10 record overall this season and they are 4-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the LA Clippers again. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 20 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 16 points. Rudy Gobert led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.2% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.4 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 8-13 this season and their O/U record is 10-11.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 12-8 record overall this season and they are 5-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak with losses coming against the San Antonio Spurs, the Brooklyn Nets, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Phoenix Suns, and the Denver Nuggets, but this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Houston Rockets still to be played on Thursday. In their game against the Nuggets, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jonathan Kuminga was next on the team with 19 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.3% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 71.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.3 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 12-8 this season and their O/U record is 10-10.


Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 12-8 record overall which has them in the middle of the West. They had a really hot start to the season which had them leading the West for a while, but that good start has been fading lately. They have been in a big slump lately with 5 losses in a row now and they aren't in a great spot here with this game being on a back-to-back. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 11-10 record overall which also has them in the middle of the West. They started the season terribly, but now they are starting to get in their groove, playing much better lately. They have some momentum on their side too with 3 wins in a row now, but they have still struggled more in their road games with their 4-6 road record. They are going to have the rest advantage in this one, but the Warriors are going to be desperate to snap their losing streak at home after that terrible road trip, and Steph Curry is being rested for the first game of this back-to-back so that is going to help the Warriors a lot in this game. The Timberwolves have looked a lot better lately, but they have still been really inconsistent all season and this is a game that the Warriors are going to be desperate to win at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, December 6, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 125 Timberwolves 121.
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NBA Betting Trends


Minnesota Timberwolves: 13-6 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 34-22 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 35-26 ATS as a road underdog. 35-26 OVER as a road underdog. 

Golden State Warriors: 15-23 1H ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 6-15 1H ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 38-23 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 13-5 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Ingles (SF) Day To Day - Soleus.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Out - Rest. A. Wiggins (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Green (PF) Out - Calf. D. Melton (PG) Out For Season - ACL.


Notable Quotes


"This is two games in a row where we've played our most complete basketball on both sides of the ball. This is what we've got to do. We haven't been doing that, and we're starting to figure it out and find a rhythm and understand how important defense is to us." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in their game on Wednesday.


"Podz is a hell of a player, but he needs to -- and I've told him this -- he needs to be a smart player. He's one of our guys that's capable of making really good decisions. He had a lob when we were up [10] in the late second quarter that was frankly insane." - Steve Kerr on Brandin Podziemski after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Trayce Jackson-Davis

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (26.2)
APG: M. Conley (4.5)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (11.1)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (22.6)
APG: S. Curry (6.6)
Reb/G: K. Looney (7.8)

Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)