Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2024

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5, Mavericks -5; Over/Under:  221 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5, Mavericks -5; Over/Under:  221 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  14-14 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  19-10 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  8-2 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 14-14 record overall this season and they are 6-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the New York Knicks, the Golden State Warriors, and the Atlanta Hawks. Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 23 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 19 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 42.9% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.2 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 11-17 this season and their O/U record is 12-16.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 19-10 record overall this season and they are 10-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Portland Trail Blazers. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Daniel Gafford was next on the team with 23 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 53.3% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 17-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-13.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games this season with their 19-10 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have looked great on their home court with their 10-4 home record and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves haven't looked great in their games this season with their 14-14 record overall which has them lower in the West. They have been struggling all season to stay above .500 and made some moves in the summer that haven't helped them that much. They haven't looked great in their road games either, going 6-8 in those, and now they have lost 3 games in a row too. The Timberwolves have been a really up and down team all season while the Mavericks have looked a lot better, even improving from last season with Klay Thompson on the team now. They have been the hotter team lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they are also the team that kicked the Timberwolves out of the playoffs last season so they know how to beat this team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 25, 2024 (2:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 115 Timberwolves 107.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 26-11 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 11-4 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 24-18 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 22-16 OVER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 

Dallas Mavericks: 17-25 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 27-35 ATS off a home win. 38-19 1H OVER against Northwest division opponents. 38-25 1H OVER off a home win. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. Nix Day To Day - Ankle. L. Garza (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Ingles (SF) Day To Day - Soleus. N. Reid (C) Day To Day - Ankle.

Dallas Mavericks:  B. Williams Day To Day - Thumb. J. Hardy (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist.

"Everything’s always on the table, for sure. But also we need to keep looking at lineup combinations as the game goes on, too." - Chris Finch on shaking up the lineup.

“He knows how to use his body to position himself. He knows the space that he has to get to, and he does it at a very high level. So, if it’s not an and-1, he’s going to the free throw line. For him being out, getting to the free throw line was important just to get his rhythm.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Monday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Dereck Lively II

PPG: A. Edwards (25.3)

APG: M. Conley (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.6)

PPG: L. Dončić (28.8)

APG: L. Dončić (8.1)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.5)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)