Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/28/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024

Venue:  Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +9.5, Michigan -9.5; Over/Under:  38 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +10, Michigan -10; Over/Under:  38 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +10, Michigan -10; Over/Under:  38 points

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  2-2 (0-1) (15th place, Big Ten)

Michigan Wolverines:  3-1 (1-0) (6th place, Big Ten)

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Minnesota Golden Gophers:  lost their last game at home against the Iowa Hawkeyes 31-14.

Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the USC Trojans 27-24.

Minnesota is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Iowa 31-14. Max Brosmer was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Darius Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 34. Daniel Jackson led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Kerry Brown led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Cody Lindenberg led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Michigan is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against USC 27-24. Alex Orji was the starting QB and he completed 7/12 passes for 32 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kalel Mullings led the team in rushing yards with 159 and 2 TDs. Marlin Klein led the receivers with 10 receiving yards on 1 reception. Jyaire Hill led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Josaiah Stewart led the defense in sacks with 2. Will Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall and their 1-0 conference record. Their only loss was at home against Texas, but Texas is the best team in the country right now and has looked like it. They are coming off of their first conference win against USC and now they are at home again, looking to stay undefeated in the Big Ten. Meanwhile, Minnesota hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall and their 0-1 conference record. They lost their season opener to UNC, putting up 17 points at home against a defense that gave up 70 last week, and now they are coming off a conference loss at home to Iowa. Their only 2 wins this season were against Nevada and Rhode Island from the FCS, but now they are playing their first road game of the season and this isn't an easy building to play in. Minnesota has a better defense than their offense, but their defense just gave up 31 points at home to an offense like Iowa and Michigan still has a really good defense that isn't going to give up many points here. Michigan also has a struggling offense, but they got the job done against USC with the run game and this will be a game where they can pull away more since Minnesota doesn't really have the offense to make a comeback if they fall behind. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Minnesota Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 27 Minnesota 13.

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Minnesota Golden Gophers: 2-7 ATS as an underdog. 3-7 ATS in road lined games. 6-13 ATS against conference opponents. 13-7 UNDER in games played on turf. 4-1 UNDER after a loss by 17 or more points. 6-3 UNDER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less.

Michigan Wolverines: 14-6 ATS against conference opponents. 7-2 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 6-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite. 11-6 UNDER after playing a game at home. 

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  D. Kemp (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Randle (DL) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Redding (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hicks (DL) Out - Undisclosed. K. Johnson (RB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Conzemius (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Greenhow (DB) Out - Undisclosed. P. Walsh (TE) Out - Leg. J. Williams (OL) Out - Undisclosed. S. Macy (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Wright (RB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Seidl (CB) Out - Undisclosed.

Michigan Wolverines:  C. Loveland (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Pollard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Marshall (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Mangham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Morris (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Tuttle (QB) Questionable - Elbow. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.

“That’s where they want you. Now all of a sudden it’s like a boa constrictor, and you better start scoring some points really quick.” - P.J. Fleck after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game. 

“Our players never flinched and that’s what you’re really proud of.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s win against USC in their last game. 

WR Spencer, Elijah 

WR Brockington, Le'Meke 

WR Jackson, Daniel 

TE Geers, Jameson 

QB Brosmer, Max 

RB Taylor, Darius 

WR Bell, Kendrick

WR Morris, Tyler 

WR Morgan, Semaj 

TE Loveland, Colston 

QB Warren, Davis 

RB Edwards, Donovan

Passing: M. Brosmer (836)

Rushing: D. Taylor (222)

Receiving: D. Jackson (268)

Touchdowns: D. Taylor (4)

Passing: D. Warren (444)

Rushing: K. Mullings (429)

Receiving: C. Loveland (187)

Touchdowns: K. Mullings (4)

Coaches:

Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (8th season)

Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)