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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/07/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Sep 03, 2024
Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, September 7, 2024
Venue:  Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Where to Watch:  SEC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MTSU +41.5, Ole Miss -41.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  MTSU +41.5, Ole Miss -41.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MTSU +41.5, Ole Miss -41.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points

Season Record

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  1-0 (0-0) (3rd place, Conference USA)
Mississippi Rebels:  1-0 (0-0) (1st place, SEC)

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 32-25.
Mississippi Rebels:  won their last game at home against the Furman Paladins 76-0.


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Mississippi Rebels Preview and Analysis


Middle Tennessee State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Tennessee Tech 32-25. Nicholas Vattiato was the starting QB and he completed 20/35 passes for 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Frank Peasant led the team in rushing yards with 49 and 2 TDs. Omari Kelly led the receivers with 47 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Brendon Harris led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while James Gillespie and Brandon Buckner each led the defense in sacks with 1. John Howse IV came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Furman 76-0. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 22/27 passes for 418 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Matt Jones led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 2 TDs. Tre Harris led the receivers with 179 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Chris Paul Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kam Franklin and Chris Hardie each led the defense in sacks with 1. Trey Amos came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Middle Tennessee vs Mississippi Prediction

The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 41.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss looked great in their season opener at home. They were up against a team from the FCS, Furman, but they showed no mercy with a 76-0 win. That offense is still rolling with Kiffin and Dart, and the defense looked really good too even though they weren't really tested. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee State won their season opener at home last week, but they didn't look that good in the game. They were playing a team from the FCS at home and only beat Tennessee Tech 32-25. Not only did they barely beat this team by 1 score at home, but their defense also gave up 25 points in the process which is going to be a huge issue against a team that just put up 76 points at home. Ole Miss hasn't really been known for their good defense in recent years so there is a chance that this MTSU offense will be able to move the ball, but they still aren't going to put up a ton of points against an SEC team on the road. Ole Miss also has a really strong offense that will torch them here, and as they showed in week 1, they won't hold back no matter how much they are up by. Ole Miss is going to be looking for style points in every game with this new CFP format so even if they don't win the SEC, they give themselves a chance to get in with some impressive winning margins. Middle Tennessee may play in the C-USA, but they looked terrible in their season opener at home against an FCS team and they might as well be an FCS team themselves in this game with the talent difference here. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game. 

Middle Tennessee Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 7, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 63 MTSU 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. 4-1 to the first half under in their last 5 road games. 

Mississippi Rebels: 8-6 ATS in their last 14 games. 5-2 ATS in the first half of their last 7 home games. 3-0 to the first quarter under in their last 3 home games.

Key Injuries


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  None.

Mississippi Rebels:  J. Watkins (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Diggs (RB) Questionable - Knee.

Notable Quotes


"Tonight was an interesting night, to really say the least. (Tennessee Tech) came in here and played one heck of a ballgame. You look early and you think you're going to have an opportunity to boat-race somebody a little bit. Then all of a sudden you sputter out. Football is a game of momentum. We had it early. Tennessee Tech marched back and they took it. I don't think this group panicked. What you saw from this team was growth." - Derek Mason after his team’s win against Tennessee Tech in their last game. 


“I’m really pleased with the points, the yards and zero turnovers. We didn’t have to play a starter in the second half. Normally I’m critical about what we could do better, but not so much tonight.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against Furman in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
WR Butler, Myles 
WR Kelly, Omari 
WR Stewart, Kellen 
TE Gonzalez, Daniel 
QB Vattiato, Nicholas 
RB Peasant, Frank 

Mississippi Rebels
WR Wells Jr., Antwane 
WR Harris, Tre 
WR Lee, Cayden
TE Prieskorn, Caden
QB Dart, Jaxson 
RB Bentley IV, Ulysses

Statistical Leaders


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Passing: Nicholas Vattiato (210)
Rushing: Frank Peasant (49)
Receiving: Omari Kelly (47)
Touchdowns: Frank Peasant (2)

Mississippi Rebels
Passing: Jaxson Dart (418)
Rushing: Matt Jones (68)
Receiving: Tre Harris (179)
Touchdowns: Tre Harris (2)

Coaches:
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Derek Mason (1st season)
Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (5th season)