Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2022

Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Saturday, May 7, 2022

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  BSSD

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +115, Padres -135; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

 

Miami Marlins:  12-13 (2nd place, NL East)

San Diego Padres:  17-9 (2nd place, NL West)

 

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Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

San Diego Padres:  7-3 last 10

 

 

 

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 12-13 record overall and they are 6-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 5 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks getting swept 3-0 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Sandy Alcantara is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Pablo López is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 1.29 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits in 4.2 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.

 

The Padres are coming into this game with a 17-9 record overall and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just split their 2-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 1-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Saturday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Yu Darvish is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Sean Manaea will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits in 6.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Marlins are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently as they are in the middle of a losing streak and just got swept by the D-backs in their last series. They are going to be hungry for a win here and they have not been awful with their hitting in these games either. They have been scoring runs and getting hits in their games recently and they will have Lopez on the mound here who has been having a great season. He will keep this a low scoring game and give the Marlins a good opportunity to win this one. Sean Manaea is starting for the Padres here and he has not been pitching well in his last 2 starts. He will likely get beat up here by a hungry lineup that has still been hitting the ball well and this is the perfect spot for the Marlins to take a game here. The best bet in this game is on the Marlins to win here.

 

Marlins Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 7, 2022 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Padres 3.

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Miami Marlins: 41-66 (-14.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 to +150. 20-30 (-8.6 Units) ML when the total is 7 or less. 27-17 OVER on the road when the total is 6 to 6.5.

San Diego Padres: 7-4 (+3 Units) ML in home games. 21-10 (+8.5 Units) ML at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 27-13 OVER when the total is 7 or less. 

 

 

Miami Marlins:  P. Campbell (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. J. Devers (SS) Mid May - Shoulder injury. D. Floro (RP) Mid May - Shoulder injury.

San Diego Padres:  L. Voit (1B) Mid May - Bicep injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid June - Wrist injury.

 

 

 

"These hurt. Anytime you lose late like that it hurts you. We finally get that big hit that we needed to break through and you feel like OK we have a chance to put a game away and we're unable to do it." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.

 

 

"I just got surprised by that. He just showed up. I just saw him in the booth in Denver this morning. He caught a flight and came over here. That's what family does. He's the best. I love him." - Manny Machado after their win against the Marlins on Thursday.

 

 

 

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jesus Aguilar (R) DH

Jorge Soler (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) CF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Joey Wendle (L) 3B

Miguel Rojas (R) SS

Payton Henry (R) C

 

Jake Cronenworth (L) DH

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Eric Hosmer (L) 1B

Jurickson Profar (S) LF

Austin Nola (R) C

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Matt Beaty (L) RF

C.J. Abrams (L) 2B

 

 

Batting Average:  Jazz Chisholm (.324)

Hits:  Jazz Chisholm (24)

Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (4)

RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (19)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (6)

Wins:  Pablo Lopez (3)

Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)

ERA:  Louis Head (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Eric Hosmer (.376)

Hits:  Manny Machado (37)

Home Runs:  Manny Machado (7)

RBI:  Manny Machado (20)

Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (5)

Wins:  Joe Musgrove (4)

Saves:  Taylor Rogers (11)

ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)

 

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)