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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jun 17, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 18, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch:  WPIX

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Mets -180; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Mets -180; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +150, Mets -185; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Miami Marlins:  28-33 (4th place, NL East)
New York Mets:  42-23 (1st place, NL East)
 
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10
New York Mets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Marlins are coming into this game with a 28-33 record overall and they are 13-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. There is no probable starting pitcher for them on Friday while Braxton Garrett is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the Houston Astros. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

New York Mets Analysis

The Mets are coming into this game with a 42-23 record overall and they are 21-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Carlos Carrasco is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Taijuan Walker will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 6 hits in 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 11 runs in their last series averaging just under 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just under 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are coming into this game playing very well in their recent games and they have been playing well all season as they currently lead the NL East. They are going up against a Marlins team that has been playing well in recent games but has also been very inconsistent this season and has not been hitting the ball as well as the Mets have been. The Mets have been crushing the ball all season as they have a very good lineup but they have also had very good pitching this season as well and that has helped them out a lot. They have Carrasco starting here and he has been very good this season giving his team a lot of success when he pitches in games. Garret is starting for the Marlins here and he is coming off of a good start in his last game but he has not played very well this season and will likely struggle on the road here against one of the better teams in the NL. The best bet here is on the Mets to win this game at home.
 
Marlins Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 18, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Marlins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Miami Marlins: 128-160 (-10.4 Units) ML in all games. 56-89 (-9.7 Units) ML in road games. 54-58 (-4.3 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 
New York Mets: 42-23 (+15.8 Units) ML in all games. 21-9 (+9.2 Units) ML in home games. 18-11 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Marlins:  B. Anderson (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Wendle (2B) Late June - Hamstring. J. Luzardo (SP) Mid July - Forearm.
New York Mets:  T. Jankowski (RF) Early July - Hand. J. McCann (C) Late June - Wrist. M. Scherzer (SP) Early July - Oblique.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously, that one is disappointing with the way that we thrown the ball today to get to that point. It's disappointing. I've had enough of those for the year." - Don Mattingly after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Wednesday.
 
 
"Really stoked that we made the play in time. That was huge, and then Sugar did his job shutting the door." - Pete Alonso after their win against the Brewers on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jon Berti (R) 3B
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B
Jesus Sanchez (L) CF
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Nick Fortes (R) C
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
 
New York Mets
Mark Canha (R) LF
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) DH
Luis Guillorme (L) 3B
Tomas Nido (R) C
Nick Plummer (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Marlins
Batting Average:  Nick Fortes (.333)
Hits:  Garrett Cooper (60)
Home Runs:  Jazz Chisholm (13)
RBI:  Jazz Chisholm (41)
Stolen Bases:  Jon Berti (14)
Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (6)
Saves:  Anthony Bender (6)
ERA:  Daniel Castano (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (70)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (18)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (59)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (8)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (7)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (13)
ERA:  Stephen Nogosek (0.71)
 
Managers:
Miami Marlins: Don Mattingly (7th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)