Miami Hurricanes vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -17, USF +17; Over/Under:  65 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -17, USF +17; Over/Under:  65 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL -17, USF +17; Over/Under:  65 points

Miami Hurricanes:  3-0 (0-0) (5th place, ACC)

South Florida Bulls:  2-1 (0-0) (4th place, AAC)

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Miami Hurricanes:  won their last game at home against the Ball State Cardinals 62-0.

South Florida Bulls:  won their last game on the road against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles 49-24.

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Ball State 62-0. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 346 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ajay Allen led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Jacolby George led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Francisco Mauigoa led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Simeon Barrow Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Elijah Alston came away with the only interception for the in that one.

 

 

 

South Florida is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Southern Mississippi 49-24. Byrum Brown was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 193 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kelley Joiner led the team in rushing yards with 117 and 2 TDs. Sean Atkins led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Mac Harris led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kajuan Banks and Jarvis Lee each led the defense in sacks with 1. Doug Blue-Eli came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 17 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They crushed 2 weaker teams in their last 2 games, beating Ball State 62-0 and Florida A&M 56-9, but they did have a test in their season opener. They won their season opener on the road against Florida and not only did they win that game, they crushed Florida 41-17. Miami has looked great on both offense and defense so far this season, and considering the way some of the teams in the ACC have started the season, they are a true threat to win the conference this year. Meanwhile, South Florida has also looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They are coming off a really nice win on the road against Southern Miss in their last game, but they did show in their 1 loss this season that they don't have the talent to keep up with the bigger schools. Their only loss was on the road against Alabama and they lost that game 42-16. They have a better chance to put up a fight at home in this one, but Miami is the real deal this season and they aren't letting these smaller teams trip them up this year, as seen in their last 2 games. South Florida will put up some points in this one, but moving the ball is still going to be really difficult against this better Miami defense and they won't have the talent on offense to keep up with the points Miami can score. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami South Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 49 South Florida 13.

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Miami Hurricanes: 10-18 ATS in all lined games. 5-11 ATS as a favorite. 2-7 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 8-4 OVER in non-conference games. 6-3 OVER after a win by 17 or more points. 9-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

South Florida Bulls: 12-7 ATS as an underdog. 6-2 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 6-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-3 OVER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-4 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 7-2 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Miami Hurricanes:  R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Rivers (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brown (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Bain (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Taylor (DB) Questionable - Arm. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Porter (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

South Florida Bulls:  K. Powell (RB) Out - Undisclosed.

“There was some natural pressure. They better play well in front of my guys.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against Ball State in their last game. 

“It would be really big for us to get a win, but I think it would be really big for them to get a win, too.” - Alex Golesh on his team’s upcoming game against Miami-FL this week.

WR Brown, Samuel 

WR George, Jacolby

WR Restrepo, Xavier 

TE Arroyo, Elijah

QB Ward, Cam 

RB Martinez, Damien

WR Brown-Stephens, Michael 

WR Yaseen, Abdur-Rahmaan 

WR Atkins, Sean

TE Singletary, Payten 

QB Brown, Byrum

RB Wright, Nay'Quan 

FB Dangler, Evan 

Passing: C. Ward (1035)

Rushing: D. Martinez (159)

Receiving: X. Restrepo (263)

Touchdowns: X. Restrepo (4)

Passing: B. Brown (448)

Rushing: B. Brown (254)

Receiving: S. Atkins (164)

Touchdowns: K. Joiner (4)

Coaches:

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)

South Florida Bulls: Alex Golesh (2nd season)